AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

08 Aug 2026, 19:00

Post on X

ADO Den Haag

Away

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AI call AZ Alkmaar to win

62%

22%

16%

Home Win · 1.47 Draw · 5.02 Away Win · 7.50

AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag prediction: Sportiko gives AZ Alkmaar a 62% chance of winning, ADO Den Haag 16% and the draw 22%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 08:00.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.3%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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AZ Alkmaar

WWDDD

ADO Den Haag

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings AZ Alkmaar · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash, AZ Alkmaar will face ADO Den Haag. AZ has demonstrated strong form in recent seasons, particularly at home, where they typically leverage their tactical prowess and high pressing. ADO Den Haag, however, has struggled with consistency and defensive solidity, which could be exploited by AZ's attacking unit. Key players to watch include AZ's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their recent successes, and ADO's playmaker, who will need to orchestrate effectively to create goal-scoring opportunities. Overall, AZ is favored to secure a win based on their recent performance trends and squad depth.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

ADO Den Haag goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	3	1
1	8	11	6	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	6	7	4	1
4	3	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ AZ Alkmaar goals · most likely 1–1 (11.3%)

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

56% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

81%

4.5

19%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	3.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
1	7.7%	11.3%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.1%	10.1%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	6.1%	6.8%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
4	3.1%	3.4%	1.9%	0.7%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AZ Alkmaar	Draw	ADO Den Haag
AZ Alkmaar	38.0%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	17.4%	14.1%	7.7%
ADO Den Haag	2.7%	3.8%	10.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag

2 AZ Alkmaar Wins

1 Draws

0 ADO Den Haag Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
16 Jan 2021	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 1	ADO Den Haag
25 Oct 2020	ADO Den Haag	2 - 2	AZ Alkmaar
07 Mar 2020	AZ Alkmaar	4 - 0	ADO Den Haag

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AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A PSV Eindhoven	W	0 - 4
25 Jul	H Olympiakos Piraeus	W	3 - 2
17 May	H NAC Breda	D	3 - 3
10 May	A Feyenoord	D	1 - 1
03 May	H Twente	D	2 - 2

ADO Den Haag — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Jul	H Asteras Tripolis	D	0 - 0
24 Jul	A Lommel United	W	0 - 4
22 Mar	A De Graafschap	W	1 - 2
17 Mar	H Jong Utrecht	W	1 - 0
13 Mar	A Emmen	W	0 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	4	0	+4	3
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	ADO Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.