Cambuur vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

Excelsior

Away

Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

AI call Too close to call

37%

26%

36%

Home Win · 2.60 Draw · 3.70 Away Win · 2.68

Cambuur vs Excelsior prediction: Sportiko gives Cambuur a 37% chance of winning, Excelsior 36% and the draw 26%. Last updated 7 Aug 2026, 19:52.

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1st Half Over 0.5 74%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 17'

Irakli Yegoian assist: Gyan de Regt

⚽ 0–2 31'

Noah Naujoks assist: Irakli Yegoian

⚽ 0–3 42'

assist: Simon Janssen

HT 0–3

Ryan van de Pavert ⇄ Sami Bouhoudane

46' ⇄

Rik Mulders ⇄ Morgan Costarelli

46' ⇄

Lucas Jetten ⇄ Ethan Apkakou

65' ⇄

⚽ 0–4 69'

Noah Naujoks assist: Simon Janssen

⇄ 74'

⇄ Nesto Groen

⇄ 74'

Nolan Martens ⇄ Casper Widell

⇄ 75'

Irakli Yegoian ⇄ Aymen Sliti

⇄ 81'

Simon Janssen ⇄ Osman Turay

Skye Vink ⇄ Wessel van der Goot

81' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Gyan de Regt ⇄ Ilano Silva Timas

🖵 90+2'

Ilano Silva Timas Goal Disallowed - offside

FT 0–4

Cambuur

Match Stats

Excelsior

46% Ball Possession 54%

0.70 Expected Goals (xG) 3.35

11 Total Shots 19

2 Shots on Goal 10

6 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 5

5 Shots insidebox 14

6 Shots outsidebox 5

5 Corner Kicks 8

1 Offsides 0

6 Fouls 11

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

5 Goalkeeper Saves 1

377 Total passes 431

316 Passes accurate 354

84% Passes % 82%

0.16 goals_prevented 0.16

Cambuur

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Thijs Jansen G	7.5	92'	–	–	–	29 (18%)	–
29 Iwan Henstra F	7.5	92'	–	–	2	12 (12%)	3
11 Ilyes Hamache F	7.2	92'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	1
8 Nicky Souren M	6.9	92'	–	–	–	32 (28%)	4
9 Skye Vink F	6.6	81'	–	–	1	19 (12%)	–
10 Rafik El Arguioui M	6.5	92'	–	–	3	15 (9%)	–
6 Jamal Amofa D	6.5	92'	–	–	1	78 (68%)	4
7 Sami Bouhoudane F	6.5	47'	–	–	–	12 (9%)	–
40 Wessel van der Goot M	6.3	11'	–	–	–	–	–
17 Ethan Apkakou M	6.3	26'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
14 Ryan van de Pavert M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	18 (15%)	1
4 Ismaël Baouf D	6.2	92'	–	–	–	68 (64%)	–
28 Morgan Costarelli D	6.2	47'	–	–	1	18 (15%)	4
16 Rik Mulders D	5.9	45'	–	–	–	22 (21%)	2
23 Lucas Jetten D	5.6	66'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	–

Excelsior

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
8 Irakli Yegoian F	8.6	75'	1	1	1	29 (25%)	3
15 Simon Janssen D	8.3	81'	–	2	–	27 (24%)	5
10 Noah Naujoks M	8.2	92'	2	–	3	26 (14%)	3
19 David Garden F	8.2	74'	1	–	3	16 (10%)	–
1 Stijn van Gassel G	7.7	92'	–	–	–	61 (44%)	–
20 Lennard Hartjes M	7.7	92'	–	–	1	37 (36%)	2
21 Ilano Silva Timas F	7.3	7'	1	–	1	2 (2%)	–
3 Rick Meissen D	7.0	92'	–	–	–	60 (54%)	1
11 Gyan de Regt F	6.9	85'	–	1	3	16 (14%)	1
7 Aymen Sliti F	6.9	17'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	–
14 Jan Plug D	6.9	92'	–	–	–	58 (54%)	1
6 Daniel van Vianen M	6.9	92'	–	–	1	29 (26%)	1
4 Casper Widell D	6.5	18'	–	–	–	14 (9%)	–
17 Nolan Martens D	6.3	74'	–	–	–	37 (29%)	1
28 Nesto Groen F	6.3	18'	–	1	–	8 (5%)	–
22 Osman Turay D	6.3	11'	–	–	–	6 (3%)	–

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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Cambuur

LWDWD

Excelsior

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings Cambuur · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Cambuur faces Excelsior in an Eredivisie matchup on August 7, 2026. Cambuur's recent form indicates a solid offensive output, averaging 1.5 goals per game, while their defense has allowed an average of 1.2 goals. In contrast, Excelsior has struggled away from home, with a goal-scoring average of just 0.8 goals per game. Historical head-to-head data shows Cambuur with a slight edge, winning 60% of their recent encounters. Expect a closely contested match, but Cambuur's offensive capabilities may prove decisive.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Excelsior now leads 0-5 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Excelsior leads 0-4. Win probability: 100%. Comeback chance: 0%.

70' Goal 85% sure

Excelsior now leads 0-4 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 49.7%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-3. Excelsior leads. Win probability: 97.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 77.7%.

42' Goal 85% sure

Excelsior now leads 0-3 with 97.3% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 79.7%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Excelsior goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	5	5	3	1
1	5	12	8	4	2	1
2	5	8	7	4	1
3	3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Cambuur goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

36%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

50% Home (No Draw) 50% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 18% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Home Scores More 37% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS Yes 36% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	5.4%	5.4%	2.8%	1.1%
1	5.4%	12.1%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%
2	5.4%	8.5%	6.7%	3.5%	1.4%
3	2.8%	4.5%	3.5%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.1%	1.8%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cambuur	Draw	Excelsior
Cambuur	21.6%	4.5%	2.4%
Draw	13.4%	15.3%	12.7%
Excelsior	2.7%	5.0%	22.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cambuur vs Excelsior

0 Cambuur Wins

0 Draws

3 Excelsior Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Mar 2023	Excelsior	4 - 1	Cambuur
06 Aug 2022	Cambuur	0 - 2	Excelsior
08 May 2016	Cambuur	0 - 2	Excelsior

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Cambuur — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	H Excelsior	L	0 - 4
24 Mar	A Emmen	W	2 - 4
20 Mar	H Jong AZ	D	3 - 3
16 Mar	A Helmond Sport	W	0 - 1
13 Mar	H Roda	D	1 - 1

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Aug	A Cambuur	W	0 - 4
01 Aug	A De Graafschap	W	1 - 5
17 May	A Sparta Rotterdam	W	2 - 3
10 May	H FC Volendam	D	1 - 1
02 May	A Groningen	W	2 - 3

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Excelsior	1	1	0	4	0	+4	3
2	Fortuna Sittard	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	PEC Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	PSV Eindhoven	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	NEC Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Willem II	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	ADO Den Haag	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	GO Ahead Eagles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Cambuur	1	0	1	0	4	-4	0

Excelsior

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ruben den Uil

1 Gassel

15 Janssen

14 Plug

3 Meissen

17 Martens

20 Hartjes

10 Naujoks

6 Vianen

11 Regt

19 Garden

8 Yegoian

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Stijn van Gassel	G
17	Nolan Martens	D
3	Rick Meissen	D
14	Jan Plug	D
15	Simon Janssen	D
6	Daniel van Vianen	M
10	Noah Naujoks	M
20	Lennard Hartjes	M
8	Irakli Yegoian	F
19	David Garden	F
11	Gyan de Regt	F

Substitutes

4	Casper Widell	D
28	Nesto Groen	F
7	Aymen Sliti	F
16	Celton Biai	G
22	Osman Turay	D
24	Giuliano Cairo	M
5	Stan Henderikx	D
21	Ilano Silva Timas	F
34	Noa el Hamdaoui	M
18	Valentin Sulzbacher	M
23	Yaqub Finey	M

Cambuur

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Johan Plat

1 Jansen

23 Jetten

6 Amofa

4 Baouf

16 Mulders

8 Souren

10 Arguioui

14 Pavert

11 Hamache

9 Vink

29 Henstra

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Thijs Jansen	G
16	Rik Mulders	D
4	Ismaël Baouf	D
6	Jamal Amofa	D
23	Lucas Jetten	D
14	Ryan van de Pavert	M
10	Rafik El Arguioui	M
8	Nicky Souren	M
29	Iwan Henstra	F
9	Skye Vink	F
11	Ilyes Hamache	F

Substitutes

28	Morgan Costarelli	D
7	Sami Bouhoudane	F
17	Ethan Apkakou	M
21	Jasper Meijster	G
24	Matthijs Kalisvaart	G
33	Buddy Vogelzang	D
3	Jorn Berkhout	D
40	Wessel van der Goot	M
18	Wiebe van der Heide	M
48	Damian Westerhof	M
15	Fabian Kvam	F
13	Nicolas Binder	F