Jagiellonia vs Rangers Prediction
Jagiellonia vs Rangers prediction: Sportiko gives Jagiellonia a 30% chance of winning, Rangers 42% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 18:00.
Match Report
Jagiellonia secured a memorable 2–1 victory over Rangers in Białystok to advance in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, with the match's decisive period arriving in a frantic opening half-hour. Two own goals — from Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia in the fourth minute and Emmanuel Fernandez in the 13th — handed the Polish side an unlikely two-goal cushion before K. Szmyt added a third in the 21st minute to put Jagiellonia firmly in control. Rangers pulled one back to make it 2–1, but that proved to be their only reward as the half-time scoreline held.
The second half saw Rangers dominate possession and register seven shots on goal compared to Jagiellonia's three, yet the hosts' resilience proved decisive. A flurry of substitutions from both benches failed to alter the outcome, with Rangers unable to find the equaliser despite sustained pressure in the closing stages.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rangers win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that did not materialise. Jagiellonia's clinical early display ultimately proved the difference, sending the Scottish side out of European competition.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Jagiellonia
Match Stats
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 75: Jagiellonia leads 2-1. Win probability: 79.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.2%.
Half-time: 2-1. Jagiellonia leads. Win probability: 63.7%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.6%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. Jagiellonia win: 58.1%. BTTS: 100%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 29.2%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Rangers win: 72.2%. BTTS: 71.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Jagiellonia vs Rangers
No head-to-head history found between these teams.
Jagiellonia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | H Rangers | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Jul | A Motor Lublin | W | 1 - 2 |
| 25 Jul | H Korona Kielce | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Jul | A FC Nordsjaelland | W | 1 - 2 |
| 16 Jul | H Sparta Praha | W | 1 - 0 |
Rangers — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug | A Jagiellonia | L | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Jul | A Dundee Utd | D | 1 - 1 |
| 26 Jul | H West Ham | D | 0 - 0 |
| 12 Apr | A Falkirk | W | 3 - 6 |
| 04 Apr | H Dundee Utd | W | 4 - 2 |
UEFA Europa League Standings
League standings are not available for this competition.
Rangers
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Derek McInnes
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivor Pandur | G |
| 21 | Dujon Sterling | D |
| 2 | Ross McCrorie | M |
| 37 | Emmanuel Fernandez | D |
| 25 | Tuur Rommens | D |
| 42 | Tochi Chukwuani | M |
| 6 | Dan Neil | M |
| 17 | Daisuke Yokota | F |
| 11 | Thelo Aasgaard | M |
| 10 | Mohammed Diomande | M |
| 9 | Youssef Chermiti | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | Liam Kelly | G |
| 24 | Olwethu Makhanya | D |
| 41 | Alexander Hutton | D |
| 22 | Vanja Dragojević | M |
| 43 | Nicolas Raskin | M |
| 45 | Ross McCausland | M |
| 52 | Findlay Curtis | M |
| 14 | Cameron Devlin | M |
| 23 | Djeidi Gassama | M |
| 28 | Bojan Miovski | F |
| 20 | Ryan Don Naderi | F |
| 7 | Lawrence Shankland | F |
Jagiellonia
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 50 | Sławomir Abramowicz | G |
| 15 | Norbert Wojtuszek | D |
| 44 | Apostolos Konstantopoulos | D |
| 4 | Yuki Kobayashi | D |
| 23 | Guilherme Montóia | D |
| 27 | Rodrigo Conceição | D |
| 6 | Taras Romanczuk | M |
| 21 | Sergio Lozano | M |
| 7 | Kajetan Szmyt | M |
| 11 | Jesús Imaz | M |
| 99 | Nik Prelec | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | Michał Perchel | G |
| 66 | Adrian Damasiewicz | G |
| 53 | Bartlomiej Krasiewicz | D |
| 2 | Cezary Polak | M |
| 10 | Jeremy Agbonifo | M |
| 19 | Ferslev Anders Klynge | M |
| 85 | Eryk Kozłowski | M |
| 8 | Dawid Drachal | M |
| 9 | Dimitris Rallis | F |
| 17 | Youssuf Sylla | F |
| 80 | Zachary Zalewski | F |
| 90 | Maciej Kuczynski | F |