NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

11 Aug 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Olympiakos Piraeus

Away

AI call NEC Nijmegen or draw

37%

30%

33%

Home Win · 2.76 Draw · 3.55 Away Win · 2.65

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus prediction: Sportiko gives NEC Nijmegen a 37% chance of winning, Olympiakos Piraeus 33% and the draw 30%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 06:04.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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NEC Nijmegen

DLWLD

Olympiakos Piraeus

DLLWD

Last 1 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League match, NEC Nijmegen faces Olympiakos Piraeus. NEC comes into the match with a solid defensive record in domestic play but may struggle against Olympiakos, who possess a strong attacking lineup featuring key players in form. Olympiakos has historically performed well in European competitions, emphasizing their experience and tactical discipline. The match will likely hinge on NEC's ability to contain Olympiakos' forwards while exploiting any defensive frailties. Overall, this clash presents a compelling matchup of NEC’s resilience against Olympiakos’ offensive prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

37%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Olympiakos Piraeus goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	7	4	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	11	9	3	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ NEC Nijmegen goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

37%

Away Win

33%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

71% Home (No Draw) 29% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	7.4%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
1	14.0%	14.1%	5.0%	1.3%	0.3%
2	10.9%	8.7%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.0%	4.0%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	NEC Nijmegen	Draw	Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen	24.4%	2.6%	0.6%
Draw	22.9%	20.9%	7.3%
Olympiakos Piraeus	3.1%	5.3%	13.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

0 NEC Nijmegen Wins

1 Draws

0 Olympiakos Piraeus Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Olympiakos Piraeus	0 - 0	NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Olympiakos Piraeus	D	0 - 0
31 Jul	H Sevilla	L	1 - 2
14 Jul	H V-varen Nagasaki	W	3 - 1
11 Jul	A Anderlecht	L	3 - 2
01 Jul	A De Treffers	D	1 - 1

Olympiakos Piraeus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	D	0 - 0
25 Jul	A AZ Alkmaar	L	3 - 2
24 Jul	A Antwerp	L	3 - 0
17 Jul	H Fortuna Sittard	W	2 - 0
11 Jul	H OH Leuven	D	0 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.