Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Bodo/Glimt

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3 : 2

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 3-3 · Aggregate 6-5

Union St. Gilloise

Away

AI call Difficult Bodo/Glimt win or draw

54%

23%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise prediction: Sportiko gives Bodo/Glimt a 54% chance of winning, Union St. Gilloise 23% and the draw 23%. Last updated 11 Aug 2026, 18:41.

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Match Report

Bodo/Glimt edged past Union St. Gilloise 3–2 after extra time in a dramatic UEFA Champions League third qualifying round tie, despite the Norwegian side finishing with just 30% possession. A goalless first half gave little indication of the chaos to come, with the match bursting to life in the second period when Ole Didrik Blomberg broke the deadlock six minutes after the restart.

Union St. Gilloise hit back almost immediately through Guilherme Smith at the 61-minute mark to level matters, before Jens Petter Hauge restored Bodo/Glimt's advantage on 76 minutes. The visitors equalised again through Mohammed Fuseini with two minutes remaining, forcing extra time, and the closing stages were further disrupted when Kamiel Van de Perre was dismissed after picking up two yellow cards in quick succession deep into stoppage time.

With the tie in the balance, Andreas Helmersen proved the hero, netting in the 117th minute to send Bodo/Glimt through. The result aligned with the pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated a Bodo/Glimt victory as the most likely outcome at 54%. Union St. Gilloise's 23 total shots and nine corners ultimately counted for nothing.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Sondre Auklend Yellow Card

16' ▮

Jostein Gundersen ⇄ Haitam Aleesami

41' ⇄

HT 0–0

Ole Didrik Blomberg assist: Jens Petter Hauge

51' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 61'

Guilherme Smith assist: Darius Olaru

⇄ 61'

Promise David ⇄ Mohammed Fuseini

Sondre Auklend ⇄ Joshua Kitolano

70' ⇄

Ola Brynhildsen ⇄ Andreas Helmersen

70' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Adem Zorgane ⇄ Rob Schoofs

⇄ 74'

Darius Olaru

Jens Petter Hauge assist: Andreas Helmersen

76' ⚽ 2–1

▮ 82'

Kamiel Van de Perre Yellow Card

⚽ 2–2 88'

Mohammed Fuseini assist: Louis Patris

▮ 90+7'

Kamiel Van de Perre Yellow Card

▮ 90+7'

Kamiel Van de Perre Red Card

▮ 90+7'

Guilherme Smith Yellow Card

⇄ 91'

Besfort Zeneli ⇄ Relebohile Mofokeng

Haitam Aleesami Yellow Card

92' ▮

Fredrik André Bjørkan ⇄ Isak Dybvik Määttä

103' ⇄

Sondre Fet ⇄ Ulrik Saltnes

104' ⇄

Andreas Helmersen

117' ⚽ 3–2

▮ 118'

Kevin Mac Allister Yellow Card

⇄ 120+1'

Louis Patris ⇄ Raul Florucz

⇄ 120+1'

Guilherme Smith ⇄ Ousseynou Niang

Jens Petter Hauge ⇄ Villads Nielsen

120+1' ⇄

FT 3–2

Bodo/Glimt

Match Stats

Union St. Gilloise

70% Ball Possession 30%

Expected Goals (xG)

23 Total Shots 18

9 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 10

6 Blocked Shots 3

17 Shots insidebox 15

6 Shots outsidebox 3

9 Corner Kicks 1

1 Offsides 4

11 Fouls 10

2 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 1

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

987 Total passes 419

885 Passes accurate 333

90% Passes % 79%

goals_prevented

Bodo/Glimt

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Jens Petter Hauge F	9.9	121'	1	1	3	89 (71%)	–
11 Ole Didrik Blomberg F	8.6	121'	1	–	1	59 (48%)	2
9 Andreas Helmersen F	8.3	51'	1	1	3	8 (5%)	–
7 Patrick Berg M	8.2	121'	–	–	5	97 (87%)	8
4 Odin Luras Bjørtuft D	7.9	121'	–	–	1	183 (175%)	2
20 Fredrik Sjøvold D	7.6	121'	–	–	2	129 (119%)	8
19 Sondre Fet M	7.5	104'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	2
12 Nikita Haikin G	7.2	121'	–	–	–	26 (16%)	–
5 Haitam Aleesami D	7.2	80'	–	–	–	115 (107%)	–
6 Jostein Gundersen D	6.9	41'	–	–	–	66 (62%)	–
15 Fredrik André Bjørkan D	6.7	103'	–	–	–	102 (101%)	3
25 Isak Dybvik Määttä D	6.5	18'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	–
14 Ulrik Saltnes M	6.5	17'	–	–	1	7 (5%)	1
8 Sondre Auklend M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	1
16 Joshua Kitolano M	6.2	51'	–	–	–	17 (14%)	1
17 Ola Brynhildsen F	5.9	70'	–	–	1	10 (7%)	–

Union St. Gilloise

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
29 Massire Sylla D	8.7	121'	–	–	–	58 (52%)	4
1 Vic Chambaere G	8.3	121'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	–
11 Guilherme Smith M	8.2	121'	1	–	1	24 (19%)	3
7 Mohammed Fuseini F	7.3	60'	1	–	3	10 (8%)	–
38 Relebohile Mofokeng F	7.0	31'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
27 Louis Patris M	7.0	121'	–	1	2	39 (24%)	5
55 Nikki Havenaar D	7.0	121'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	2
28 Darius Olaru F	6.9	74'	–	1	1	18 (13%)	–
23 Besfort Zeneli M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	29 (27%)	1
17 Rob Schoofs M	6.7	51'	–	–	1	14 (14%)	–
8 Adem Zorgane M	6.6	70'	–	–	–	42 (33%)	2
9 Mateo Biondic F	6.3	47'	–	–	2	10 (6%)	2
12 Promise David F	6.2	61'	–	–	5	3 (2%)	1
5 Kevin Mac Allister D	6.0	121'	–	–	–	52 (40%)	3
6 Kamiel Van de Perre M	6.0	96'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Bodo/Glimt win or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.1%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Bodo/Glimt

LWLWW

Union St. Gilloise

WWWWW

Last 2 meetings Bodo/Glimt · 0W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Champions League match between Bodo/Glimt and Union St. Gilloise, both teams will be looking to assert themselves early in the tournament. Bodo/Glimt has demonstrated strong attacking capabilities, averaging over 2 goals per match in recent league play. Union St. Gilloise, meanwhile, has shown resilience, with a solid defensive record but may struggle against high-pressing teams. The key battle will be in midfield, where both sides will aim to control possession and create goal-scoring opportunities. Overall, this match promises to be competitive, with tactical nuances likely determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union St. Gilloise goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	4	3	1
1	6	11	7	3	1
2	7	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Bodo/Glimt goals · most likely 1–1 (11.1%)

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Away Win

23%

Draw

23%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

54%

Away Win

23%

Draw

23%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 25% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	3.7%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%
1	6.1%	11.1%	6.6%	2.9%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.7%	6.5%	2.9%	1.0%
3	4.7%	6.4%	4.3%	1.9%	0.6%
4	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Union St. Gilloise
Bodo/Glimt	29.6%	3.8%	1.6%
Draw	18.2%	13.9%	8.5%
Union St. Gilloise	3.9%	5.1%	15.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

0 Bodo/Glimt Wins

2 Draws

0 Union St. Gilloise Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Union St. Gilloise	3 - 3	Bodo/Glimt
03 Oct 2024	Union St. Gilloise	0 - 0	Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Brann	L	2 - 1
14 Sep	H Sandefjord	W	3 - 2
10 Sep	A Bayern München	L	5 - 0
04 Sep	A Fredrikstad	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Rosenborg	W	4 - 2

Union St. Gilloise — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Antwerp	W	0 - 2
17 Sep	A Plzen	W	0 - 3
12 Sep	H Lommel United	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A Charleroi	W	2 - 3
02 Sep	A St. Truiden	W	0 - 3

UEFA Champions League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	1	1	0	0	6	1	+5	3
2	Bayern München	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
3	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	5	1	+4	3
4	Manchester United	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
5	Como	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
6	VfB Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
8	Manchester City	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
10	Lens	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
11	Real Betis	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
12	Borussia Dortmund	1	1	0	0	3	2	+1	3
13	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
15	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	AEK Athens FC	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	AS Roma	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
18	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
19	PSV Eindhoven	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
20	Fenerbahçe	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1
21	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
22	Lille	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
23	Slavia Praha	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2	3	-1	0
25	Inter	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
26	Atletico Madrid	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
27	Napoli	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Lask Linz	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
29	Viking	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
30	Galatasaray	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
31	FC Porto	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	1	5	-4	0
34	Sabah FA	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
35	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1	6	-5	0
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Union St. Gilloise

Formation: 3-5-2 Coach: David Hubert

1 Chambaere

55 Havenaar

29 Sylla

5 Allister

11 Smith

8 Zorgane

6 Perre

23 Zeneli

27 Patris

28 Olaru

12 David

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Vic Chambaere	G
5	Kevin Mac Allister	D
29	Massire Sylla	D
55	Nikki Havenaar	D
27	Louis Patris	M
23	Besfort Zeneli	M
6	Kamiel Van de Perre	M
8	Adem Zorgane	M
11	Guilherme Smith	M
12	Promise David	F
28	Darius Olaru	F

Substitutes

7	Mohammed Fuseini	F
18	Giorgi Kavlashvili	G
71	Keo Boets	G
17	Rob Schoofs	M
22	Ousseynou Niang	M
38	Relebohile Mofokeng	F
9	Mateo Biondic	F
30	Raul Florucz	F

Bodo/Glimt

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Kjetil Knutsen

12 Haikin

15 Bjørkan

6 Gundersen

4 Bjørtuft

20 Sjøvold

19 Fet

7 Berg

8 Auklend

10 Hauge

17 Brynhildsen

11 Blomberg

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	Nikita Haikin	G
20	Fredrik Sjøvold	D
4	Odin Luras Bjørtuft	D
6	Jostein Gundersen	D
15	Fredrik André Bjørkan	D
8	Sondre Auklend	M
7	Patrick Berg	M
19	Sondre Fet	M
11	Ole Didrik Blomberg	F
17	Ola Brynhildsen	F
10	Jens Petter Hauge	F

Substitutes

5	Haitam Aleesami	D
16	Joshua Kitolano	M
9	Andreas Helmersen	F
1	Julian Lund	G
2	Villads Nielsen	D
25	Isak Dybvik Määttä	D
14	Ulrik Saltnes	M
23	Magnus Riisnæs	M
24	Daniel Bassi	F
77	Mikkel Bro Hansen	F