Lyon vs Sparta Praha Prediction

UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round

11 Aug 2026, 19:00

Post on X

Sparta Praha

Away

AI call Difficult Lyon win or draw

55%

24%

21%

Home Win · 1.55 Draw · 4.60 Away Win · 6.16

Lyon vs Sparta Praha prediction: Sportiko gives Lyon a 55% chance of winning, Sparta Praha 21% and the draw 24%. Last updated 5 Aug 2026, 06:04.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.7%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Lyon

LLWWL

Sparta Praha

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Lyon · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Lyon faces Sparta Praha in a crucial UEFA Champions League encounter. Lyon's attack has shown strength, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last five fixtures, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals per match. Sparta Praha will need to tighten their defense, having allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match in recent outings. Both teams will be keen to secure points early in the group stage, making this a vital clash for their ambitions. Tactical discipline and scoring efficiency could ultimately determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sparta Praha goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	5	4	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	6	3	1
4	2	3	1	1
5	1	1

↑ Lyon goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Lyon

No scorer data.

Sparta Praha

M. Ryneš 1 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

24%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 23% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

68%

3.5

32%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	4.9%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
1	8.6%	12.7%	6.2%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.9%	9.9%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	5.2%	5.8%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.3%	2.5%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lyon	Draw	Sparta Praha
Lyon	32.5%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	17.0%	16.0%	8.4%
Sparta Praha	2.7%	4.4%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

17%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Sparta Praha

2 Lyon Wins

0 Draws

1 Sparta Praha Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Aug 2026	Sparta Praha	2 - 1	Lyon
04 Nov 2021	Lyon	3 - 0	Sparta Praha
21 Oct 2021	Sparta Praha	3 - 4	Lyon

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Sparta Praha	L	2 - 1
29 Jul	A Real Betis	L	4 - 0
15 Jul	H Servette FC	W	2 - 1
11 Jul	H FC ST. Gallen	W	6 - 3
17 May	H Lens	L	0 - 4

Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	H Lyon	W	2 - 1
31 Jul	H Zlin	W	3 - 1
25 Jul	A Zbrojovka Brno	L	3 - 1
17 Jul	A FC Nordsjaelland	L	5 - 1
16 Jul	A Jagiellonia	L	1 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.