Le Havre vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

13 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Lens

Away

AI call Difficult Le Havre win or draw

59%

27%

13%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Havre vs Lens prediction: Sportiko gives Le Havre a 59% chance of winning, Lens 13% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.6%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Lens

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Le Havre faces Lens in an intriguing Ligue 1 clash. Le Havre has shown solid form at home, boasting a decent defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game this season. Meanwhile, Lens has been effective on the road, averaging 1.5 goals scored per match. This matchup will hinge on Le Havre's ability to contain Lens's attacking prowess, which has been bolstered by consistent performances from key forwards. The outcome could be influenced by Le Havre's defensive resilience versus Lens's offensive creativity.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

59%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

13%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lens goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	5	2
1	16	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	7	5	2
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 1–0 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

27%

Away Win

13%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

82% Home (No Draw) 18% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

33% Home Win by 2+ 4% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 13% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.9%	5.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
1	15.6%	12.3%	3.5%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.8%	8.8%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	7.4%	4.8%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%
4	3.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Havre	Draw	Lens
Le Havre	36.8%	2.9%	0.5%
Draw	21.9%	18.8%	5.4%
Lens	2.2%	3.7%	7.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

52%

1.5

48%

78%

2.5

22%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Lens

1 Le Havre Wins

0 Draws

2 Lens Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jan 2026	Lens	1 - 0	Le Havre
24 Aug 2025	Le Havre	1 - 2	Lens
01 Mar 2025	Lens	3 - 4	Le Havre

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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.