Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

13 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Paris Saint Germain

Away

AI call Difficult Auxerre win or draw

59%

25%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 59% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 16% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Auxerre

WWLLL

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Auxerre will face a formidable challenge against Paris Saint-Germain. PSG boasts a high-scoring offense, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, supported by star players like Kylian Mbappé, who leads the league in goals. Auxerre, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. With PSG's superior squad depth and attacking prowess, they are favored to take all three points, but Auxerre will need to leverage their defensive organization to have any chance of competing.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Auxerre goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	4.2%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.5%	12.0%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	10.0%	4.5%	1.3%	0.3%
3	7.1%	6.3%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.3%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Auxerre	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Auxerre	42.8%	4.2%	1.1%
Draw	15.9%	15.4%	6.3%
Paris Saint Germain	1.9%	3.4%	9.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Paris Saint Germain

0 Auxerre Wins

0 Draws

3 Paris Saint Germain Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jan 2026	Auxerre	0 - 1	Paris Saint Germain
27 Sep 2025	Paris Saint Germain	2 - 0	Auxerre
17 May 2025	Paris Saint Germain	3 - 1	Auxerre

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Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.