Nice vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

13 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Toulouse

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

AI call Difficult Nice win or draw

62%

27%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nice vs Toulouse prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 62% chance of winning, Toulouse 11% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 17.8%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Nice

WLDLD

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Nice · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Nice faces Toulouse in this Ligue 1 matchup, with both teams vying for crucial points. Nice has shown strong defensive capabilities this season, allowing only 1.1 goals per match, while Toulouse has struggled offensively, averaging 1.0 goals per match. The midfield battle will be pivotal, as Nice's possession-centric approach could stifle Toulouse's counter-attacking style. Historical data also suggests that Nice has had the upper hand in recent encounters, which could play a role in their confidence heading into this fixture. Expect a tactical contest with the potential for a low-scoring outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	5	2
1	18	11	3
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ Nice goals · most likely 1–0 (17.7%)

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Players in form

Nice

No scorer data.

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

85% Home (No Draw) 15% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.2%	5.0%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
1	17.8%	11.4%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.3%	8.1%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	8.2%	4.4%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.3%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nice	Draw	Toulouse
Nice	38.6%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	23.3%	19.4%	5.0%
Toulouse	1.8%	3.0%	5.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

32%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nice vs Toulouse

0 Nice Wins

1 Draws

2 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
16 Aug 2025	Nice	0 - 1	Toulouse
02 Feb 2025	Toulouse	1 - 1	Nice

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.