Toulouse vs Le Mans Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

06 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Le Mans

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

AI call Le Mans to win or draw

17%

77%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Toulouse vs Le Mans prediction: Sportiko gives Toulouse a 6% chance of winning, Le Mans 77% and the draw 17%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 73% 72%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 16.1%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Le Mans

WDDLD

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Toulouse will face Le Mans. Toulouse has shown a solid home record, boasting a strong defensive line that has conceded fewer than 1.5 goals per match on average this season. Le Mans, however, has struggled on the road, with an away win rate below 30%. Key players for Toulouse, particularly in the midfield, will be critical in controlling possession and creating scoring opportunities. If Toulouse can maintain their defensive solidity, they are favored to secure a victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	13	16	13	8	4
1	2	8	8	7	4	2
2	1	2	2	2	1
3
4
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 0–2 (16.1%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

93% Away (No Draw) 7% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 6% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	12.6%	16.1%	12.9%	7.7%
1	2.0%	7.9%	8.4%	6.7%	4.0%
2	0.8%	1.8%	2.2%	1.7%	1.0%
3	0.1%	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

31%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Le Mans
Toulouse	3.0%	2.2%	2.1%
Draw	2.5%	11.0%	22.5%
Le Mans	0.3%	2.0%	54.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

59%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Away Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

22%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Le Mans

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.