Strasbourg vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

20 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Marseille

Away

Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

AI call Marseille or draw

21%

31%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Strasbourg vs Marseille prediction: Sportiko gives Strasbourg a 21% chance of winning, Marseille 49% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Strasbourg

LDWWL

Marseille

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Strasbourg hosts Marseille. Strasbourg has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, allowing an average of just 1.2 goals per match this season. Marseille, on the other hand, is known for their attacking prowess, averaging 2 goals per match, but they have struggled occasionally against organized defenses. The key battle will likely be between Strasbourg's defense and Marseille's forwards, which could determine the outcome of the match. Both teams will seek vital points as they push for their respective league objectives.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Marseille goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	14	11	5	2
1	7	14	9	4	1
2	4	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Strasbourg goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

31%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

31%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	13.7%	10.6%	4.9%	1.7%
1	7.4%	14.2%	8.7%	4.0%	1.4%
2	3.7%	5.1%	3.6%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.0%	1.4%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Strasbourg	Draw	Marseille
Strasbourg	11.6%	3.9%	1.9%
Draw	8.9%	21.0%	18.6%
Marseille	1.0%	3.8%	29.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Marseille

0 Strasbourg Wins

1 Draws

2 Marseille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Aug 2026	Marseille	4 - 0	Strasbourg
14 Feb 2026	Marseille	2 - 2	Strasbourg
26 Sep 2025	Strasbourg	1 - 2	Marseille

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.