Rennes vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

20 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Toulouse

Away

Roazhon Park, Rennes

AI call Difficult Rennes win or draw

55%

26%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rennes vs Toulouse prediction: Sportiko gives Rennes a 55% chance of winning, Toulouse 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Rennes

LDWWW

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Rennes · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Rennes faces Toulouse in a Ligue 1 showdown with both teams aiming for crucial points. Rennes has shown solid form at home, boasting a strong defensive record with an average of 1.1 goals conceded per match this season. In contrast, Toulouse has struggled on the road, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per match. Offensively, Rennes is slightly more potent, averaging 1.5 goals per game compared to Toulouse's 1.3. This match could hinge on Rennes' ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while maintaining defensive discipline against Toulouse's counter-attacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	5	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Rennes goals · most likely 1–1 (12.4%)

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Players in form

Rennes

E. Lepaul 3 gls

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	4.6%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
1	9.6%	12.4%	5.5%	1.8%	0.5%
2	10.0%	10.0%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	6.1%	6.1%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rennes	Draw	Toulouse
Rennes	35.0%	4.0%	1.3%
Draw	18.6%	15.9%	7.7%
Toulouse	2.6%	4.0%	10.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rennes vs Toulouse

1 Rennes Wins

1 Draws

1 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Feb 2026	Rennes	1 - 0	Toulouse
29 Oct 2025	Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
03 May 2025	Toulouse	2 - 1	Rennes

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lyon	L	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Sturm Graz	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Marseille	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Angers	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Le Mans	W	3 - 2

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.