Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

13 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Paris Saint Germain

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

AI call Difficult Le Mans win or draw

60%

22%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain prediction: Sportiko gives Le Mans a 60% chance of winning, Paris Saint Germain 17% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.2%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Le Mans faces a formidable challenge against Paris Saint-Germain (PSG). PSG, boasting one of the league’s most potent attacks, will rely on their star players to exploit Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities. Le Mans must prioritize strong defensive organization and capitalize on any counter-attacking opportunities to contend with PSG's superior possession and pressing game. Historically, PSG has dominated this fixture, making them the clear favorites to secure points in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Paris Saint Germain goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	5	2	1
2	9	10	6	2	1
3	7	7	4	2
4	4	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 1–1 (10.2%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

78% Home (No Draw) 22% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

38% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

21%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	2.9%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
1	6.9%	10.2%	5.1%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.0%	10.1%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	6.7%	7.5%	4.2%	1.6%	0.4%
4	3.7%	4.2%	2.3%	0.9%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Paris Saint Germain
Le Mans	44.9%	4.3%	1.4%
Draw	15.0%	12.6%	6.2%
Paris Saint Germain	2.3%	3.5%	9.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Paris Saint Germain

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.