Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

13 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Monaco

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

AI call Monaco to win or draw

18%

77%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Toulouse vs Monaco prediction: Sportiko gives Toulouse a 5% chance of winning, Monaco 77% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 17.9%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Monaco

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 clash, Toulouse will face Monaco in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Toulouse has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match this season. Monaco, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game, driven by their dynamic forwards. The outcome may hinge on whether Toulouse can stifle Monaco's offensive threat while capitalizing on set-piece opportunities. Both teams will be eager to secure vital points as they aim for their respective league objectives.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Monaco goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	15	18	13	7	3
1	2	8	8	6	3	1
2	1	1	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 0–2 (17.9%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Monaco

Paris Josua Brunner 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

77%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

94% Away (No Draw) 6% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 5% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	15.1%	17.9%	13.3%	7.5%
1	2.2%	7.8%	7.7%	5.7%	3.2%
2	0.7%	1.5%	1.7%	1.2%	0.7%
3	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
Toulouse	2.7%	2.0%	1.8%
Draw	2.3%	12.1%	23.4%
Monaco	0.3%	1.8%	53.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

65%

28%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Monaco

0 Toulouse Wins

2 Draws

1 Monaco Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Toulouse	2 - 2	Monaco
25 Oct 2025	Monaco	1 - 0	Toulouse
07 Mar 2025	Toulouse	1 - 1	Monaco

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Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Monaco — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Lens	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Strasbourg	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	A Paris Saint Germain	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Marseille	W	2 - 0
27 Aug	H Gornik Zabrze	W	4 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.