Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 19

07 Feb 2027, 19:45

Post on X

Marseille

Away

Parc des Princes, Paris

AI call Difficult Paris Saint Germain win or draw

55%

27%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 55% chance of winning, Marseille 19% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Marseille

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Paris Saint Germain (PSG) faces Marseille, a highly anticipated rivalry known as "Le Classique." PSG has shown strong form, boasting a potent attack led by key players, and has averaged 2.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Marseille has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. Historically, PSG has had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 60% of the last 10 encounters. This match will be crucial for both teams, with PSG aiming to maintain their title challenge and Marseille looking to secure a vital away point.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Marseille goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Paris Saint Germain goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.5%	5.0%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	10.7%	12.8%	5.3%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.6%	9.8%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.1%	5.7%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.7%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paris Saint Germain	Draw	Marseille
Paris Saint Germain	35.8%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	17.8%	16.7%	6.3%
Marseille	2.5%	4.5%	12.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Marseille

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

0 Draws

1 Marseille Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Marseille	1 - 2	Paris Saint Germain
08 Feb 2026	Paris Saint Germain	5 - 0	Marseille
22 Sep 2025	Marseille	1 - 0	Paris Saint Germain

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Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.