Toulouse vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

23 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Nice

Away

Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse

AI call Difficult Nice win or draw

16%

30%

54%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Toulouse vs Nice prediction: Sportiko gives Toulouse a 16% chance of winning, Nice 54% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 15.6%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Toulouse

WDLDL

Nice

WLDLD

Last 3 meetings Toulouse · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Toulouse will face Nice, both teams showing varied performances this season. Toulouse has been solid at home, with a strong attacking line averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Nice's defense has been resilient, conceding only 0.9 goals per match. The clash will likely hinge on Toulouse's ability to break through Nice's organized backline. Additionally, both teams have shown inconsistency, making this encounter crucial for their league standings. Expect a tactical battle with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Nice goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	13	16	12	6	2	1
1	7	13	9	4	2
2	3	4	3	1	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Toulouse goals · most likely 0–1 (15.6%)

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Players in form

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

Nice

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

30%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

54%

Draw

30%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

54% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	15.6%	12.4%	6.0%	2.2%
1	6.6%	13.4%	8.6%	4.1%	1.5%
2	2.8%	4.1%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
3	0.7%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Toulouse	Draw	Nice
Toulouse	9.0%	3.6%	1.9%
Draw	7.3%	20.9%	20.5%
Nice	0.8%	3.4%	32.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Toulouse vs Nice

2 Toulouse Wins

1 Draws

0 Nice Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Jan 2026	Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
16 Aug 2025	Nice	0 - 1	Toulouse
02 Feb 2025	Toulouse	1 - 1	Nice

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.