Strasbourg vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

23 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Lyon

Away

Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg

AI call Lyon to win or draw

11%

21%

68%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Strasbourg vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Strasbourg a 11% chance of winning, Lyon 68% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.5%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

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Strasbourg

LDWWL

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Strasbourg · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Strasbourg will face Lyon, both teams aiming to secure vital points in the league standings. Strasbourg has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Lyon boasts a more potent attack, averaging 2 goals per game. Key player performances will be crucial; Strasbourg’s success hinges on their ability to contain Lyon's forwards, particularly with Lyon's recent form showing improved consistency. Overall, Lyon's offensive capabilities may give them the edge in this matchup, making it a crucial test for Strasbourg's defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

68%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	10	12	9	5	2
1	3	10	10	7	4	2
2	2	3	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Strasbourg goals · most likely 0–2 (12.5%)

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Players in form

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

21%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

21%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

86% Away (No Draw) 14% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

45% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 11% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

19%

1.5

81%

43%

2.5

57%

66%

3.5

34%

83%

4.5

17%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

24%

23%

17%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	10.0%	12.5%	9.3%	5.2%
1	2.8%	9.9%	9.8%	7.4%	4.1%
2	1.6%	3.5%	3.9%	2.9%	1.6%
3	0.4%	0.9%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

49%

1.5

51%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Strasbourg	Draw	Lyon
Strasbourg	5.9%	3.1%	2.7%
Draw	4.4%	12.6%	20.9%
Lyon	0.8%	3.0%	46.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Away Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Strasbourg vs Lyon

2 Strasbourg Wins

0 Draws

1 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	Strasbourg	3 - 1	Lyon
26 Oct 2025	Lyon	2 - 1	Strasbourg
28 Mar 2025	Strasbourg	4 - 2	Lyon

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Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.