Auxerre vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

16 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Estac Troyes

Away

AI call Auxerre to win or draw

71%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Estac Troyes prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 71% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 8% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Auxerre

WWLLL

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Estac Troyes, both teams are looking to secure crucial points as the season progresses. Auxerre has shown a solid defensive record at home, with a goal-conceded average of 1.2 per game, while Troyes struggles on the road, averaging 1.8 goals conceded per match. Offensively, Auxerre needs to improve their scoring efficiency, managing only 1.1 goals per game. Conversely, Troyes has demonstrated a more potent attack, averaging 1.3 goals scored per match. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams in their quest for mid-table security or potential relegation battles.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	15	10	2
2	16	9	2
3	11	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Auxerre goals · most likely 2–0 (15.9%)

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	3.1%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
1	14.5%	9.7%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	15.9%	8.7%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
3	10.8%	5.9%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	5.5%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Auxerre	Draw	Estac Troyes
Auxerre	47.3%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	22.8%	14.3%	3.6%
Estac Troyes	2.1%	2.6%	4.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Estac Troyes

1 Auxerre Wins

2 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Aug 2026	Auxerre	1 - 1	Estac Troyes
01 Apr 2023	Auxerre	1 - 0	Estac Troyes
04 Nov 2022	Estac Troyes	1 - 1	Auxerre

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.