Le Mans vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

02 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Lyon

Away

Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans

AI call Difficult Le Mans win or draw

51%

24%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Mans vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Le Mans a 51% chance of winning, Lyon 25% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 10.5%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

66%

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Le Mans

WDDLD

Lyon

WWDWD

Match summary

In this Ligue 1 matchup, Le Mans faces Lyon, a team historically stronger with a higher average possession percentage and greater attacking output. Lyon's offense, led by key playmakers, has demonstrated a tendency to exploit defensive weaknesses, which may challenge Le Mans' backline. Conversely, Le Mans will need to capitalize on set pieces and counter-attacks, as their defensive record shows vulnerabilities against high-pressing opponents. Overall, Lyon's experience and depth could be decisive factors in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4	3	3	1
1	6	11	6	3	1
2	7	10	7	3	1
3	5	7	5	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Le Mans goals · most likely 1–1 (10.5%)

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Players in form

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Away Win

25%

Draw

24%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

34%

2.5

66%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

88%

5.5

12%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Away Win

25%

Draw

24%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 25% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

34%

2.5

66%

56%

3.5

44%

75%

4.5

25%

88%

5.5

12%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	3.3%	3.1%	1.4%	0.5%
1	5.5%	10.5%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%
2	7.0%	9.6%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.8%	6.6%	4.6%	2.1%	0.7%
4	2.5%	3.4%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

42%

1.5

58%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

25%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Mans	Draw	Lyon
Le Mans	33.2%	4.5%	2.0%
Draw	16.4%	13.3%	8.8%
Lyon	3.2%	4.4%	14.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Mans vs Lyon

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.