Le Havre vs Le Mans Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Le Mans

Away

AI call Le Mans or draw

28%

43%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Havre vs Le Mans prediction: Sportiko gives Le Havre a 28% chance of winning, Le Mans 43% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Le Mans

WDDLD

Last 1 meetings Le Havre · 1W 0D 0L

Match summary

Le Havre faces Le Mans in a Ligue 1 clash, with both teams looking to secure vital points. Le Havre has shown solid defensive organization, conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game while maintaining a possession rate of 54%. In contrast, Le Mans has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals scored per match. The outcome may hinge on Le Havre's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they have a shot conversion rate of 12%. A tightly contested match is expected, with Le Havre aiming to leverage their defensive stability against Le Mans's attacking inefficiencies.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Mans goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	8	8	4	2
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 1–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

Le Mans

A. Bourabaa 3 gls

L. Mafouta 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

28%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

28%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	8.5%	7.7%	4.0%	1.5%
1	6.2%	13.6%	9.3%	4.8%	1.8%
2	4.7%	7.2%	5.6%	2.9%	1.1%
3	1.9%	2.9%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Havre	Draw	Le Mans
Le Havre	16.4%	4.5%	2.4%
Draw	10.9%	17.4%	15.7%
Le Mans	1.8%	4.5%	26.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

33%

26%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Le Mans

1 Le Havre Wins

0 Draws

0 Le Mans Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Aug 2026	Le Mans	0 - 1	Le Havre

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Le Mans — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lorient	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Lens	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A Nice	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Rennes	L	3 - 2
22 Aug	H Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.