Auxerre vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

12 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Toulouse

Away

AI call Auxerre to win or draw

77%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Toulouse prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 77% chance of winning, Toulouse 4% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 19.8%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Auxerre

WWLLL

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Auxerre faces Toulouse in an intriguing Ligue 1 matchup. Auxerre has struggled with consistency, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, with a defensive record that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match. Toulouse, on the other hand, has shown resilience, especially in away matches, with a solid attacking output averaging 1.5 goals per game. Key players for both sides will be crucial; Auxerre's ability to tighten defense could be pivotal against Toulouse's forward threats. This match will be vital for both teams as they seek to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2	1
1	18	7	1
2	20	7	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Auxerre goals · most likely 2–0 (19.8%)

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

77%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.4%	7.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
2	19.8%	6.5%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
3	13.6%	4.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.0%	2.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Auxerre	Draw	Toulouse
Auxerre	52.8%	1.6%	0.2%
Draw	24.3%	13.7%	2.1%
Toulouse	1.4%	1.7%	2.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

72%

24%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Toulouse

1 Auxerre Wins

2 Draws

0 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Feb 2026	Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
21 Sep 2025	Auxerre	1 - 0	Toulouse
09 Feb 2025	Auxerre	2 - 2	Toulouse

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Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.