Estac Troyes vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

05 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Lyon

Away

AI call Lyon to win or draw

18%

73%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Estac Troyes vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Estac Troyes a 9% chance of winning, Lyon 73% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Estac Troyes faces Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash on December 5, 2026. Troyes has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while Lyon boasts a potent attack, scoring 2.1 goals per match. Historically, Lyon has a strong record against Troyes, winning 70% of their encounters in recent years. Key players to watch include Troyes' top scorer, who will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Lyon, who may rotate their squad due to European commitments. The result will likely hinge on Troyes' ability to tighten their defense against Lyon's dynamic offense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	9	12	10	6	3
1	2	9	10	8	5	2
2	1	3	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1
4
5

↑ Estac Troyes goals · most likely 0–2 (12.4%)

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

18%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

89% Away (No Draw) 11% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 18% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

39%

2.5

61%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	9.0%	12.4%	10.3%	6.4%
1	2.1%	8.7%	9.6%	7.9%	4.9%
2	1.2%	3.0%	3.7%	3.1%	1.9%
3	0.3%	0.8%	1.0%	0.8%	0.5%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estac Troyes	Draw	Lyon
Estac Troyes	4.8%	2.8%	2.8%
Draw	3.6%	10.8%	21.2%
Lyon	0.7%	2.7%	50.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

Away Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Lyon

0 Estac Troyes Wins

0 Draws

3 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Feb 2023	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Lyon
19 Aug 2022	Lyon	4 - 1	Estac Troyes
16 Jan 2022	Estac Troyes	0 - 1	Lyon

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Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.