Le Havre vs Strasbourg Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Strasbourg

Away

AI call Le Havre to win or draw

75%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Le Havre vs Strasbourg prediction: Sportiko gives Le Havre a 75% chance of winning, Strasbourg 5% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 18.3%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Le Havre

LDLDL

Strasbourg

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Le Havre · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Le Havre faces Strasbourg in a crucial Ligue 1 clash. Le Havre has performed solidly at home this season, boasting a defensive record that has seen them concede only 10 goals in their last 6 matches. Strasbourg, on the other hand, struggles on the road, with just 1 win in their last 5 away games and a goal difference of -8 during that stretch. Key players for Le Havre, such as their top scorer, will need to capitalize on Strasbourg's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a vital three points. Overall, Le Havre's recent form gives them an edge heading into this match.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

75%

45%

Draw

19%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Strasbourg goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	3	1
1	17	8	1
2	18	7	2
3	13	5	1
4	6	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Le Havre goals · most likely 2–0 (18.3%)

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Players in form

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

Strasbourg

Gessime Yassine 2 gls

S. Amo-Ameyaw 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

50% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	16.8%	8.2%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	18.3%	7.5%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.6%	5.2%	1.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	6.5%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Le Havre	Draw	Strasbourg
Le Havre	51.2%	2.0%	0.3%
Draw	23.6%	13.9%	2.7%
Strasbourg	1.6%	1.9%	2.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

67%

2.5

33%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

66%

27%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Le Havre vs Strasbourg

2 Le Havre Wins

0 Draws

1 Strasbourg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Le Havre	2 - 1	Strasbourg
14 Sep 2025	Strasbourg	1 - 0	Le Havre
17 May 2025	Strasbourg	2 - 3	Le Havre

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Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Strasbourg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Paris FC	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Monaco	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Estac Troyes	W	2 - 6
29 Aug	H Lens	W	2 - 1
21 Aug	A Marseille	L	4 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.