Nice vs Estac Troyes Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 12

28 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Estac Troyes

Away

Allianz Riviera, Nice

AI call Difficult Nice win or draw

63%

26%

12%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Nice vs Estac Troyes prediction: Sportiko gives Nice a 63% chance of winning, Estac Troyes 12% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Nice

WLDLD

Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Last 3 meetings Nice · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Nice hosts Estac Troyes. Nice currently boasts a strong home record, having secured 60% of their points at home this season, while Troyes struggles with away form, earning only 25% of their points on the road. Key players for Nice include their top scorer, who has consistently contributed to their attacking play, while Troyes will rely on their defensive organization to withstand Nice's pressure. Given the contrasting form and home advantage, Nice is favored to take the three points in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Estac Troyes goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	11	5	2
1	15	12	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	8	5	2
4	4	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Nice goals · most likely 1–0 (15.1%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

26%

Away Win

12%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

84% Home (No Draw) 16% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 12% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	4.6%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	15.1%	11.7%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.3%	9.0%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.3%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.6%	2.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nice	Draw	Estac Troyes
Nice	39.3%	2.9%	0.6%
Draw	22.5%	17.5%	5.2%
Estac Troyes	2.2%	3.3%	6.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nice vs Estac Troyes

3 Nice Wins

0 Draws

0 Estac Troyes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Apr 2023	Estac Troyes	0 - 1	Nice
09 Oct 2022	Nice	3 - 2	Estac Troyes
24 Apr 2022	Nice	1 - 0	Estac Troyes

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Nice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lille	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Auxerre	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Le Mans	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	A Paris FC	L	3 - 0
22 Aug	H Lorient	D	0 - 0

Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.