Lens vs Toulouse Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

21 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Toulouse

Away

Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens

AI call Difficult Lens win or draw

61%

25%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lens vs Toulouse prediction: Sportiko gives Lens a 61% chance of winning, Toulouse 15% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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75% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Lens

LDWLL

Toulouse

WDLDL

Last 3 meetings Lens · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Lens faces Toulouse, both looking to solidify their standings in the league. Lens has shown strong form at home with a solid defensive record, conceding only 10 goals in their last 8 matches. Toulouse, on the other hand, has struggled away, managing just 1 win in their last 5 league fixtures. Key players for Lens, including their leading scorer, will be crucial in breaking down Toulouse’s defense, which has been inconsistent. This clash promises to be pivotal for both teams as they aim for upper-table finishes.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Toulouse goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	4	1
2	12	10	4	1
3	8	6	3	1
4	4	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Lens goals · most likely 2–0 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

Toulouse

C. Tengstedt 3 gls

T. Jørgensen 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

25%

Away Win

15%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

61% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 15% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	4.1%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.0%	11.8%	4.4%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.8%	9.9%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	7.5%	6.3%	2.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	3.6%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lens	Draw	Toulouse
Lens	42.3%	4.0%	1.1%
Draw	18.0%	15.3%	6.4%
Toulouse	2.0%	3.2%	7.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lens vs Toulouse

2 Lens Wins

1 Draws

0 Toulouse Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Apr 2026	Lens	3 - 2	Toulouse
02 Jan 2026	Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
10 May 2025	Toulouse	1 - 1	Lens

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Toulouse — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Le Havre	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Lorient	D	2 - 2
03 Sep	H Lille	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Stade Brestois 29	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	H Lyon	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.