Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

07 Nov 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Lyon

Away

AI call Stade Brestois 29 or draw

41%

28%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Stade Brestois 29 a 41% chance of winning, Lyon 31% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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Stade Brestois 29

LLWDD

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Stade Brestois 29 · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Stade Brestois 29 faces Lyon in a Ligue 1 clash on November 7, 2026. Brest has shown resilience at home, currently maintaining a solid defensive record, allowing fewer than 1.5 goals per match. Lyon, however, boasts a potent attacking lineup, averaging over 2 goals per game this season, led by their star forward who has consistently found the net. The match could hinge on Brest's ability to neutralize Lyon's offensive threats while capitalizing on set pieces, as they have been effective in that area. Expect a tactical battle, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

10%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

31%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	3	1
2	7	9	6	3	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Stade Brestois 29 goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Stade Brestois 29

K. Doumbia 4 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

31%

Draw

28%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 31% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

45%

2.5

55%

68%

3.5

32%

84%

4.5

16%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	5.9%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%
1	7.2%	13.1%	7.7%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.1%	6.0%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.5%	4.7%	3.1%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.8%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Stade Brestois 29	Draw	Lyon
Stade Brestois 29	25.0%	4.6%	2.0%
Draw	14.8%	16.6%	11.6%
Lyon	2.5%	4.6%	18.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lyon

0 Stade Brestois 29 Wins

1 Draws

2 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Lyon	2 - 1	Stade Brestois 29
02 Nov 2025	Stade Brestois 29	0 - 0	Lyon
02 Mar 2025	Lyon	2 - 1	Stade Brestois 29

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Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auxerre	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Le Havre	W	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Toulouse	D	2 - 2
22 Aug	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.