Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Prediction
Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction: Sportiko gives Lorient a 38% chance of winning, Stade Brestois 29 31% and the draw 31%. Last updated 2 Nov 2026, 21:37.
Premium picks
Premium- Home to Score 72%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
- Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Match Report
Lorient and Stade Brestois played out a goalless first half in which the hosts looked the more threatening side on paper, earning eight corner kicks across the contest and generating an expected goals figure of 1.66. Despite that statistical dominance, Lorient failed to register a single shot on target throughout the entire match, leaving them vulnerable to the visitors' clinical edge.
Brest broke the deadlock on 69 minutes through Ludovic Ajorque, capitalising on one of their four shots on target to take control of the game. A missed penalty from Aiyegun Tosin in stoppage time summed up Lorient's evening, and Noah Edjouma rubbed salt into the wounds moments later with a second goal to seal a comfortable 2–0 win for the visitors. Our pre-match AI model had favoured a Lorient victory at 38%, a call that proved wide of the mark.
The result was a reminder of how little possession and territorial pressure count without cutting edge in front of goal. Brest's efficiency — two goals from 12 shots — stood in stark contrast to Lorient's wastefulness, and the scoreline ultimately flattered neither side's performance.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lorient
Match Stats
Lorient
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Montassar Talbi D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 44 (42%) | 3 |
| 62 Arthur Avom Ebong M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 71 (64%) | 7 |
| 32 Nathaniel Adjei D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (54%) | 1 |
| 95 Souleymane Isaak Touré D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (62%) | 2 |
| 8 Noah Cadiou M | 6.6 | 79' | – | – | 2 | 55 (49%) | 1 |
| 43 Arsène Kouassi M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 49 (44%) | 1 |
| 17 Jean-Victor Makengo M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 5 | 38 (29%) | 1 |
| 18 Ibrahima Baldé F | 6.4 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 30 Srđan Kuzmić D | 6.3 | 4' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 11 Théo Le Bris M | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 33 Gabin Bernardeau M | 6.2 | 24' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 15 Aiyegun Tosin F | 6.1 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 20 Dembo Sylla M | 6.1 | 86' | – | – | 1 | 38 (27%) | 2 |
| 38 Yvon Mvogo G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (17%) | – |
| 19 Souleymane Faye M | 6.0 | 66' | – | – | 2 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 72 Noah Mbamba M | 5.9 | 11' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Ludovic Ajorque F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 9 (4%) | – |
| 29 Lucas Tousart D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 87 (78%) | – |
| 9 Pathé Mboup M | 7.6 | 82' | – | – | 2 | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 4 Gautier Lloris D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (55%) | – |
| 11 Noah Edjouma F | 7.3 | 14' | 1 | – | 2 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 2 Bradley Locko D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | – |
| 13 Joris Chotard M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 51 (44%) | 2 |
| 8 Hugo Magnetti M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (48%) | 1 |
| 70 Kenny Lala D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 1 |
| 1 Egil Selvik G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | – |
| 23 Kamory Doumbia M | 6.8 | 76' | – | – | 2 | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 6 Mamady Diambou M | 6.8 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 10 G. Versini F | 6.7 | 14' | – | 1 | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 17 Mama Baldé M | 6.4 | 76' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Stade Brestois 29 now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.
Min 75: Stade Brestois 29 leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.9%.
Goal! Score now 0-1. Stade Brestois 29 win: 80.6%. BTTS: 24.9%.
Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 69.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 35.9%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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No scorer data.
L. Ajorque
4 gls
K. Doumbia
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 | 2 - 0 | Lorient |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Lorient | 3 - 3 | Stade Brestois 29 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Lorient | 0 - 1 | Stade Brestois 29 |
Lorient — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | H Stade Brestois 29 | L | 0 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Angers | D | 0 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Monaco | W | 1 - 0 |
| 10 Oct | H Paris FC | W | 1 - 0 |
| 19 Sep | A Le Mans | L | 2 - 1 |
Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | A Lorient | W | 0 - 2 |
| 23 Oct | H Nice | L | 1 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | A Lille | D | 1 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Angers | W | 5 - 1 |
| 03 Oct | H Monza | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Lorient
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Dujeux
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 38 | Y. Mvogo | G |
| 32 | N. Adjei | D |
| 3 | M. Talbi | D |
| 95 | S. Touré | D |
| 20 | D. Sylla | M |
| 62 | A. Avom | M |
| 8 | N. Cadiou | M |
| 43 | K. Kouassi | M |
| 17 | J. Makengo | M |
| 19 | S. Faye | M |
| 18 | I. Baldé | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | B. Kamara | G |
| 30 | S. Kuzmić | D |
| 11 | T. Le Bris | M |
| 72 | N. Mbamba | M |
| 55 | N. Obaretin | D |
| 10 | I. Jensen | F |
| 2 | A. Georgen | D |
| 33 | G. Bernardeau | M |
| 15 | A. Tosin | F |
Stade Brestois 29
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | E. Selvik | G |
| 70 | K. Lala | D |
| 29 | L. Tousart | D |
| 4 | G. Lloris | D |
| 2 | B. Locko | D |
| 13 | J. Chotard | M |
| 8 | H. Magnetti | M |
| 17 | Mama Baldé | M |
| 23 | K. Doumbia | M |
| 9 | P. Mboup | M |
| 19 | L. Ajorque | F |
Substitutes
| 39 | D. N´Guessan | F |
| 21 | Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | F |
| 11 | N. Edjouma | F |
| 6 | M. Diambou | M |
| 18 | J. Bourgault | D |
| 7 | J. Nonge Boende | M |
| 30 | M. Patouillet | G |
| 20 | L. Zogbe | D |
| 10 | G. Versini | F |