Lyon vs Angers Prediction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
AI call Lyon to win or draw
66%
22%
12%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Lyon vs Angers prediction: Sportiko gives Lyon a 66% chance of winning, Angers 12% and the draw 22%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 18:07.

Premium picks

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 72%
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Match Report

Lyon secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Angers in Matchday 9 of Ligue 1, despite spending much of the game without the ball. An early VAR intervention cancelled an Angers penalty through Zachary Athekame, and Lyon made the most of that reprieve when Ernest Nuamah broke the deadlock with a well-taken goal on 38 minutes to send the hosts into the break with a slender lead.

The second half was largely controlled by Angers in terms of possession and territory — they finished with 65% of the ball and an expected goals figure of 1.98 compared to Lyon's 0.42 — yet they were unable to convert their dominance into chances that truly threatened. A flurry of substitutions from both sides disrupted the rhythm of the game, before Corentin Tolisso wrapped up the points with a goal on 86 minutes, only to be replaced himself two minutes later.

Lyon's clinical efficiency told the story: two shots on target, two goals. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lyon win as the most likely outcome at 66%, a call that proved well-founded.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Zachary Athekame Penalty cancelled
15' 🖵
Ernest Nuamah assist: Corentin Tolisso
38' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Julien Duranville ⇄ Kaïl Boudache
63' ⇄
⇄ 69'
Haris Belkebla ⇄ Djibirin Harouna
⇄ 69'
Prosper Peter ⇄ Mamadou Usman Simbakoli
Mads Bidstrup ⇄ Noah Nartey
75' ⇄
Ernest Nuamah ⇄ Khalis Merah
75' ⇄
⇄ 84'
Branco van den Boomen ⇄ Louis Mouton
⇄ 84'
Lilian Raolisoa ⇄ Jim Allevinah
⇄ 84'
Amine Sbai ⇄ Anthony Bermont
Corentin Tolisso assist: Keito Nakamura
86' ⚽ 2–0
▮ 88'
Jordan Lefort Yellow Card
Corentin Tolisso ⇄ Nicolás Tagliafico
88' ⇄
FT 2–0
Lyon

Match Stats

Angers
65% Ball Possession 35%
1.98 Expected Goals (xG) 0.42
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Goal 2
13 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 4
7 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
655 Total passes 344
598 Passes accurate 285
5 Free Kicks 13
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Corentin Tolisso M 9.0 88' 1 1 3 62 (53%) –
7 Ernest Nuamah F 8.2 75' 1 – 4 25 (22%) –
11 Keito Nakamura F 7.7 90' – 1 – 50 (43%) 2
13 Zachary Athekame D 7.6 90' – – 2 65 (60%) 5
20 Felix Bacher D 7.4 90' – – 1 89 (84%) –
3 Nicolás Tagliafico D 7.3 2' – – – 1 (1%) –
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 7.2 90' – – – 100 (91%) –
6 Tanner Tessmann M 7.1 90' – – 1 85 (80%) 1
1 Dominik Greif G 7.0 90' – – – 35 (33%) –
99 Noah Nartey M 7.0 15' – – 1 14 (14%) –
18 Khalis Merah M 6.9 15' – – – 16 (16%) –
2 Mads Bidstrup M 6.8 75' – – 1 26 (23%) 2
16 Abner Vinícius D 6.7 90' – – 3 49 (47%) –
24 Julien Duranville F 6.5 63' – – 3 22 (18%) 2
26 Kaïl Boudache F 6.5 27' – – 1 21 (16%) –
Angers
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
93 Haris Belkebla M 6.8 69' – – – 20 (19%) –
1 Anthony Lopes G 6.7 90' – – – 48 (38%) –
21 Jordan Lefort D 6.6 90' – – – 49 (43%) 1
2 Carlens Arcus D 6.5 90' – – 1 34 (31%) 1
9 Prosper Peter F 6.4 69' – – 2 10 (9%) 2
11 Djibirin Harouna F 6.4 21' – – 2 2 –
27 Lilian Raolisoa D 6.3 84' – – – 22 (17%) 4
18 Jim Allevinah F 6.3 6' – – – 1 –
4 Ousmane Camara D 6.2 90' – – – 45 (38%) 1
17 Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa D 6.2 90' – – – 28 (22%) 2
14 Yassin Belkhdim M 6.1 90' – – – 19 (16%) –
26 Anthony Bermont M 6.1 6' – – 1 1 (1%) –
8 Branco van den Boomen M 6.0 84' – – – 36 (30%) –
6 Louis Mouton M 6.0 6' – – – 5 (4%) 1
7 Mamadou Usman Simbakoli F 5.9 21' – – – 4 (4%) –
10 Amine Sbai M 5.8 84' – – 2 20 (13%) 1
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Confidence Medium (66%)

At a glance

Our lean
Lyon to win or draw
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Lyon
DWLLW
Angers
LDLLW
Last 3 meetings Lyon · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lyon will host Angers at their home ground. Lyon currently sits in a stronger league position and boasts a robust home record, having secured a majority of their points at home this season. Angers, struggling near the bottom of the table, have shown vulnerability on the road, with a poor away record that includes several losses. Lyon's attacking prowess, led by their key forwards, will be crucial against Angers' defense, which has conceded a high number of goals. Overall, Lyon is favored to win, leveraging their superior form and tactical strength.

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Lyon leads 1-0. Win probability: 91.2%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 8.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 1-0. Lyon leads. Win probability: 87.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 76.6%.

39' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Lyon win: 87.3%. BTTS: 37.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
66%
45%
Draw
22%
45%
Away
12%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lyon
E. Nuamah 4 gls
Angers

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Angers

2 Lyon Wins
1 Draws
0 Angers Wins
Date Home Score Away
05 Apr 2026 Angers 0 - 0 Lyon
19 Sep 2025 Lyon 1 - 0 Angers
17 May 2025 Lyon 2 - 0 Angers
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
05 Nov A Real Sociedad D 1 - 1
01 Nov H Angers W 2 - 0
26 Oct A Paris Saint Germain L 2 - 0
22 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim L 3 - 0
18 Oct H Nice W 2 - 1

Angers — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
01 Nov A Lyon L 2 - 0
25 Oct H Lorient D 0 - 0
18 Oct H Marseille L 2 - 5
10 Oct A Stade Brestois 29 L 5 - 1
19 Sep H Estac Troyes W 2 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Angers

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: S. Gilli
1 Lopes
17 Kalulu
21 Lefort
4 Camara
2 Arcus
27 Rao-Lisoa
10 Sbaï
8 Boomen
93 Belkebla
14 Belkhdim
9 Peter

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Anthony Lopes G
27 L. Rao-Lisoa D
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
17 J. Kalulu D
14 Y. Belkhdim M
93 H. Belkebla M
8 B. van den Boomen M
10 A. Sbaï M
9 P. Peter F

Substitutes

6 L. Mouton M
7 U. Simbakoli F
16 M. Zinga G
20 Marius Louër D
34 M. Gernigon D
11 Djibirin Harouna F
24 E. Biumla M
26 A. Bermont M
18 J. Allevinah F

Lyon

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
16 Abner
19 Niakhaté
20 Bacher
13 Athekame
8 Tolisso
6 Tessmann
2 Bidstrup
11 Nakamura
7 Nuamah
24 Duranville

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Greif G
13 Z. Athekame D
20 F. Bacher D
19 M. Niakhaté D
16 Abner D
2 M. Bidstrup M
6 T. Tessmann M
8 C. Tolisso M
24 J. Duranville F
7 E. Nuamah F
11 Keito Nakamura F

Substitutes

26 K. Boudache F
40 R. Descamps G
32 Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez F
21 R. Kluivert D
22 Clinton Mata D
18 K. Merah M
99 N. Nartey M
3 N. Tagliafico D
33 Cluver Sambi Mbungu M

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