Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 72% chance of winning, Lyon 11% and the draw 18%. Last updated 26 Oct 2026, 21:23.
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Match Report
Paris Saint-Germain secured a comfortable 2–0 home victory over Lyon in Ligue 1, though the scoreline belied a first half in which neither side found the net despite Lyon enjoying the greater share of possession. The visitors dominated the ball throughout — finishing with 68% possession and 17 total shots to PSG's eight — yet lacked the clinical edge to convert their opportunities, with their expected goals figure of 1.03 ultimately going unrewarded.
The match turned decisively in PSG's favour after the break. Senny Mayulu broke the deadlock on 72 minutes, and Mika Godts doubled the advantage just twelve minutes later to put the result beyond doubt. A flurry of substitutions from both benches shaped the second half, with João Neves, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Ferran Torres, Désiré Doué, and Julien Duranville all introduced by the hosts as the game opened up.
The win was precisely what the pre-match analysis had anticipated, with PSG rated as 72% favourites beforehand. Three yellow cards — for Vitinha, Maghnes Akliouche, and Lyon's Ernest Nuamah — added some edge to proceedings, but PSG ultimately controlled what mattered most.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Match Stats
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Senny Mayulu M | 8.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 22 Mika Godts F | 7.9 | 33' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 51 Willian Pacho D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (77%) | 2 |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 84 (77%) | 2 |
| 6 Ilya Zabarnyi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 70 (66%) | 2 |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery D | 7.5 | 65' | – | – | – | 51 (48%) | 1 |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 95 (88%) | 1 |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 7.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 22 (22%) | – |
| 87 João Neves M | 7.2 | 57' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 2 |
| 17 Vitinha M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 152 (143%) | 2 |
| 4 Lucas Beraldo D | 7.0 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 47 Quentin Ndjantou F | 6.6 | 9' | – | 1 | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 56 (52%) | 2 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 4 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 6.4 | 81' | – | – | 4 | 43 (40%) | 3 |
Lyon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dominik Greif G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | – |
| 19 Moussa Niakhaté D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 40 (38%) | 2 |
| 13 Zachary Athekame D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 23 (21%) | 4 |
| 8 Corentin Tolisso M | 6.7 | 76' | – | – | – | 34 (34%) | 1 |
| 20 Felix Bacher D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (27%) | 2 |
| 24 Julien Duranville F | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 16 Abner Vinícius D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 21 Ruben Kluivert D | 6.4 | 14' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 23 Tyler Morton M | 6.3 | 91' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | 2 |
| 26 Kaïl Boudache F | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 99 Noah Nartey M | 6.2 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 7 Ernest Nuamah F | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 16 (8%) | – |
| 6 Tanner Tessmann M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (21%) | – |
| 18 Khalis Merah F | 5.9 | 76' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Ferran Torres
4 gls
A. Hakimi
3 gls
E. Nuamah
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 2 | Lyon |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Lyon | 2 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Lyon | 2 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Estac Troyes | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Villarreal | W | 0 - 6 |
| 30 Oct | A Le Havre | W | 1 - 5 |
| 26 Oct | H Lyon | W | 2 - 0 |
| 20 Oct | H Barcelona | W | 4 - 2 |
Lyon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | A Real Sociedad | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Angers | W | 2 - 0 |
| 26 Oct | A Paris Saint Germain | L | 2 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 3 - 0 |
| 18 Oct | H Nice | W | 2 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 2 |
Paris FC
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 17 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 16 |
| 6 |
Marseille
|
9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Nice
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 |
Lens
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Toulouse
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 13 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | +4 | 12 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 |
Strasbourg
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |
Auxerre
|
10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 10 |
| 15 |
Angers
|
9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |
Le Mans
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 2 |
Lyon
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Greif | G |
| 13 | Z. Athekame | D |
| 20 | F. Bacher | D |
| 19 | M. Niakhaté | D |
| 16 | Abner | D |
| 6 | T. Tessmann | M |
| 23 | T. Morton | M |
| 8 | C. Tolisso | M |
| 7 | E. Nuamah | F |
| 18 | K. Merah | F |
| 24 | J. Duranville | F |
Substitutes
| 99 | N. Nartey | M |
| 21 | R. Kluivert | D |
| 26 | K. Boudache | F |
| 2 | M. Bidstrup | M |
| 40 | R. Descamps | G |
| 44 | A. Hamdani | F |
| 45 | R. Himbert | F |
| 85 | N. Kamara | D |
| 22 | Clinton Mata | D |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 2 | A. Hakimi | D |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
| 51 | W. Pacho | D |
| 33 | W. Zaïre-Emery | D |
| 87 | João Neves | M |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 11 | M. Akliouche | F |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 14 | D. Doué | F |
Substitutes
| 4 | Beraldo | D |
| 42 | D. Boly | D |
| 30 | L. Chevalier | G |
| 12 | L. Digne | D |
| 27 | Pedro Fernández | M |
| 22 | M. Godts | F |
| 21 | L. Hernández | D |
| 24 | Senny Mayulu | M |
| 47 | Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha | F |