Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

25 Oct 2026, 19:45

Post on X

Lyon

Away

Parc des Princes, Paris

AI call Lyon or draw

35%

26%

39%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 35% chance of winning, Lyon 39% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.5%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

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Paris Saint Germain

WWWLD

Lyon

WWDWD

Last 3 meetings Paris Saint Germain · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Paris Saint Germain (PSG) will face Lyon, with PSG currently holding a strong position in the league. They have a formidable attacking lineup, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season, with Kylian Mbappé leading the charge. Lyon, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game, which could be exploited by PSG's potent offense. The match will be critical for both teams, with PSG aiming to maintain their title challenge and Lyon looking to secure vital points to improve their standing. Overall, PSG's offensive prowess and Lyon's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lyon goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	5	5	3	1
1	5	11	9	5	2	1
2	5	8	7	4	2	1
3	3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Paris Saint Germain goals · most likely 1–1 (11.5%)

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Players in form

Paris Saint Germain

Ferran Torres 4 gls

Marquinhos 3 gls

Lyon

E. Nuamah 3 gls

Z. Athekame 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

35%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

39%

Home Win

35%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 17% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Away Scores More 35% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

15%

1.5

85%

36%

2.5

64%

59%

3.5

41%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

22%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	5.0%	5.4%	3.1%	1.3%
1	4.6%	11.5%	8.7%	4.9%	2.1%
2	4.7%	8.1%	6.9%	4.0%	1.7%
3	2.5%	4.3%	3.7%	2.1%	0.9%
4	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.8%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

20%

27%

28%

15%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

27%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paris Saint Germain	Draw	Lyon
Paris Saint Germain	21.4%	4.2%	2.0%
Draw	11.7%	14.4%	11.0%
Lyon	2.6%	5.4%	27.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon

2 Paris Saint Germain Wins

0 Draws

1 Lyon Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2026	Paris Saint Germain	1 - 2	Lyon
09 Nov 2025	Lyon	2 - 3	Paris Saint Germain
23 Feb 2025	Lyon	2 - 3	Paris Saint Germain

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Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Marseille	W	1 - 2
13 Sep	A Stade Brestois 29	W	0 - 1
09 Sep	H Slovan Bratislava	W	6 - 1
04 Sep	H Monaco	L	1 - 2
28 Aug	A Lille	D	2 - 2

Lyon — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rennes	W	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Anderlecht	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	A Paris FC	D	0 - 0
04 Sep	H Auxerre	W	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Le Havre	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.