Marseille vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 8

24 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Le Havre

Away

AI call Marseille or draw

34%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Marseille vs Le Havre prediction: Sportiko gives Marseille a 34% chance of winning, Le Havre 33% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.2%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Marseille

LLLLL

Le Havre

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Marseille faces Le Havre in an intriguing Ligue 1 clash. Marseille's attacking prowess has been evident, with an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, while Le Havre has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. The matchup will hinge on Marseille's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against a Le Havre side that often sits deep. Both teams will look to secure vital points as the season progresses, making this encounter crucial for their respective aspirations. Expect a tactical battle, with Marseille likely to dominate possession.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Havre goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	3	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	3	3	1	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–1 (15.2%)

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Players in form

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Away Win

33%

Draw

33%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

34%

Away Win

33%

Draw

33%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 33% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	10.4%	6.5%	2.4%	0.6%
1	10.7%	15.2%	7.3%	2.6%	0.7%
2	6.9%	7.5%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
3	2.6%	2.8%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Marseille	Draw	Le Havre
Marseille	20.1%	4.3%	1.6%
Draw	13.9%	22.1%	13.5%
Le Havre	1.5%	4.2%	18.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Le Havre

3 Marseille Wins

0 Draws

0 Le Havre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Le Havre	0 - 1	Marseille
18 Oct 2025	Marseille	6 - 2	Le Havre
10 May 2025	Le Havre	1 - 3	Marseille

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Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.