Estac Troyes vs Lens Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

17 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Lens

Away

AI call Lens or draw

26%

28%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Estac Troyes vs Lens prediction: Sportiko gives Estac Troyes a 26% chance of winning, Lens 46% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.5%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Estac Troyes

LLLWD

Lens

LDWLL

Last 3 meetings Estac Troyes · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Estac Troyes will face Lens, both looking to solidify their league positions. Troyes has struggled for consistency, currently sitting lower in the standings, while Lens has shown stronger form with a solid defensive record this season. Key players to watch include Troyes' forward line, which needs to capitalize on chances, and Lens' compact defense that has limited goals against. The outcome may hinge on Troyes' ability to break down Lens' organized setup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lens goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	4	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Estac Troyes goals · most likely 1–1 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Estac Troyes

No scorer data.

Lens

F. Thauvin 3 gls

F. Ivanović 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

28%

Home Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

28%

Home Win

26%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

64% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	9.1%	8.5%	4.5%	1.8%
1	6.0%	13.5%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
2	4.2%	6.7%	5.3%	2.8%	1.1%
3	1.6%	2.5%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Estac Troyes	Draw	Lens
Estac Troyes	14.2%	3.9%	2.0%
Draw	10.3%	17.4%	14.9%
Lens	1.8%	4.9%	30.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Estac Troyes vs Lens

0 Estac Troyes Wins

1 Draws

2 Lens Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
28 Jan 2023	Estac Troyes	1 - 1	Lens
09 Sep 2022	Lens	1 - 0	Estac Troyes
14 May 2022	Estac Troyes	1 - 3	Lens

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Estac Troyes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Angers	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Lille	L	2 - 0
06 Sep	H Strasbourg	L	2 - 6
29 Aug	A Lorient	W	1 - 2
22 Aug	H Paris FC	D	0 - 0

Lens — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monaco	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Le Mans	D	2 - 2
10 Sep	A Slavia Praha	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	H Lorient	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A Strasbourg	L	2 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.