Rennes vs Auxerre Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Auxerre

Away

Roazhon Park, Rennes

AI call Difficult Auxerre win or draw

13%

25%

62%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Rennes vs Auxerre prediction: Sportiko gives Rennes a 13% chance of winning, Auxerre 62% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Rennes

LDWWW

Auxerre

WWLLL

Last 3 meetings Rennes · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Rennes will face Auxerre in this Ligue 1 clash, with Rennes currently sitting in a stronger league position. Statistically, Rennes has shown a robust home record, averaging 1.8 goals per match while conceding 1.2. In contrast, Auxerre has struggled on the road, managing only 0.9 goals per game and conceding 1.5. With Rennes's superior attacking options and defensive stability, they are favored to secure a positive result in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

13%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

62%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Auxerre goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	14	13	8	4	1
1	4	12	9	6	3	1
2	2	4	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ Rennes goals · most likely 0–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Rennes

E. Lepaul 3 gls

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

25%

Home Win

13%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

62%

Draw

25%

Home Win

13%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

83% Away (No Draw) 17% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

37% Away Win by 2+ 4% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Away Scores More 25% Equal Goals 13% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	13.6%	13.4%	8.0%	3.6%
1	4.5%	11.9%	9.4%	5.6%	2.5%
2	2.1%	3.7%	3.3%	2.0%	0.9%
3	0.5%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rennes	Draw	Auxerre
Rennes	7.1%	3.3%	2.2%
Draw	5.6%	16.8%	21.1%
Auxerre	0.7%	3.2%	40.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rennes vs Auxerre

1 Rennes Wins

1 Draws

1 Auxerre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	Auxerre	0 - 3	Rennes
19 Oct 2025	Rennes	2 - 2	Auxerre
06 Apr 2025	Rennes	0 - 1	Auxerre

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Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Lyon	L	4 - 0
16 Sep	A Sturm Graz	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	H Marseille	W	1 - 0
06 Sep	A Angers	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Le Mans	W	3 - 2

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.