Lille vs Le Havre Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Le Havre

Away

AI call Difficult Lille win or draw

50%

30%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lille vs Le Havre prediction: Sportiko gives Lille a 50% chance of winning, Le Havre 20% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Lille

LWLWD

Le Havre

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Lille · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Lille will face Le Havre, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Lille has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game at home this season, while Le Havre has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match on average. Lille's midfield control and attacking prowess could exploit Le Havre's defensive vulnerabilities, especially in transitions. However, Le Havre's resilience in recent matches could pose a challenge, making this a potentially competitive encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Le Havre goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	4	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	5	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Lille goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Lille

Tiago Santos 2 gls

Le Havre

M. Samatta 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

30%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

30%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

72% Home (No Draw) 28% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 20% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	6.8%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
1	13.1%	13.9%	5.2%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.8%	9.1%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
3	5.3%	4.4%	1.9%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.9%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lille	Draw	Le Havre
Lille	30.8%	3.9%	1.0%
Draw	18.7%	19.9%	8.5%
Le Havre	2.0%	3.9%	11.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lille vs Le Havre

1 Lille Wins

1 Draws

1 Le Havre Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Lille	1 - 1	Le Havre
30 Nov 2025	Le Havre	0 - 1	Lille
08 Feb 2025	Lille	1 - 2	Le Havre

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Lille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Nice	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Real Betis	L	2 - 3
03 Sep	A Toulouse	W	0 - 1
28 Aug	H Paris Saint Germain	D	2 - 2

Le Havre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Toulouse	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Angers	D	0 - 0
05 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Lyon	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	H Monaco	L	0 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.