Auxerre vs Nice Prediction

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
AI call Auxerre or draw
36%
30%
34%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Nice prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 36% chance of winning, Nice 34% and the draw 30%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 20:44.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Over 1.5 Goals 75%
  • Home to Score 73%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
  • Away to Score 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

Auxerre claimed all three points at home against Nice in Ligue 1, winning 1–0 in a match that remained goalless at the break despite the hosts enjoying the lion's share of possession throughout.

The decisive moment came in the 74th minute when Cameron Archer broke the deadlock with a well-taken finish, settling a contest that had been tight despite Auxerre's territorial dominance. Nice actually edged the shot count on target, registering seven attempts on goal to Auxerre's four, but lacked the clinical edge to convert their opportunities. Both sides made a flurry of changes in the closing stages, with Nice throwing on Mohamed Amoura, Elye Wahi, and Axel Witsel in search of an equaliser that never materialised.

Auxerre held firm to secure a deserved victory, backed by eight corner kicks and 68 percent possession across the ninety minutes. The result was perhaps an upset on paper — our pre-match AI model had rated an Auxerre win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved correct — and will provide a significant confidence boost for the promoted side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Kévin Danois Yellow Card
44'
HT 0–0
Remy Labeau Lascary ⇄ Romain Faivre
71'
72'
Niels Nkounkou ⇄ Ali Abdi
74'
Djibril Coulibaly Yellow Card
Cameron Archer assist: Christ Makosso
74' 1–0
Danny Namaso ⇄ Naouirou Ahamada
81'
Arthur Piedfort ⇄ P. Ekwah
82'
86'
Elye Wahi ⇄ Sofiane Diop
86'
Mohamed Amoura ⇄ Nathan N'Goumou
86'
Axel Witsel ⇄ Hicham Boudaoui
86'
Mohamed Abdelmonem ⇄ Isak Jansson
Cameron Archer ⇄ Rayan Mandengue
87'
FT 1–0
Auxerre

Match Stats

Nice
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 7
0 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Corner Kicks 8
0 Offsides 3
8 Fouls 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 4
295 Total passes 641
205 Passes accurate 563
6 Free Kicks 8
Auxerre
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
15 Christ Makosso D 7.6 90' 1 29 (21%) 1
9 Cameron Archer F 7.4 87' 1 3 11 (7%)
4 Axel Tuanzebe D 7.2 90' 2 24 (23%)
10 Danny Namaso F 7.1 81' 3 21 (18%) 4
23 Mamadou Diop G 7.1 90' 24 (3%)
8 Naouirou Ahamada M 6.9 9' 5 (4%) 1
21 Romain Faivre M 6.8 19' 1 2 (2%) 2
5 Kévin Danois M 6.7 90' 53 (39%) 5
3 Remy Labeau Lascary F 6.6 71' 2 9 (9%) 3
32 Rayan Mandengue D 6.5 3' 1 (1%)
17 P. Ekwah M 6.5 8' 3 (2%) 1
46 Arthur Piedfort M 6.4 82' 37 (29%) 1
22 Fredrik Oppegård M 6.3 90' 10 (6%) 1
27 Lamine Sy M 6.2 90' 31 (21%) 1
92 Clement Akpa D 6.0 90' 35 (20%) 2
Nice
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D 7.2 90' 115 (105%) 1
35 Xavier Mandza D 7.2 90' 1 85 (73%) 1
28 Axel Witsel M 7.0 86' 2 59 (58%) 1
21 Isak Jansson F 6.8 4' 2
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D 6.7 86' 1 74 (68%) 3
23 Yehvann Diouf G 6.7 90' 38 (27%)
7 Gauthier Hein M 6.6 90' 1 70 (68%)
39 Djibril Coulibaly M 6.6 90' 1 61 (58%)
92 Jonathan Clauss M 6.5 90' 3 45 (37%) 2
11 Elye Wahi M 6.4 86' 2 22 (15%) 1
6 Hicham Boudaoui M 6.3 4' 8 (7%)
9 Mohamed Amoura F 6.3 86' 1 21 (16%) 1
27 Niels Nkounkou M 6.2 72' 25 (18%) 3
10 Sofiane Diop M 6.2 4' 5 (3%)
2 Ali Abdi D 6.0 18' 8 (7%) 1
29 Nathan N'Goumou F 5.9 4' 3 (3%)
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Our lean
Auxerre or draw
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Auxerre
WWLLL
Nice
WLDLD
Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Auxerre faces Nice in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Auxerre has struggled for consistency, sitting lower in the table with a defense that has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match this season. Conversely, Nice has displayed stronger form, particularly in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game, with a solid midfield contributing to their possession stats. Both teams will be keen to secure vital points, making this match crucial for their respective campaigns.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
36%
45%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
34%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Auxerre
C. Archer 3 gls
Nice

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Nice

1 Auxerre Wins
1 Draws
1 Nice Wins
Date Home Score Away
10 May 2026 Auxerre 2 - 1 Nice
23 Aug 2025 Nice 3 - 1 Auxerre
14 Mar 2025 Nice 1 - 1 Auxerre
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Stade Brestois 29 W 2 - 1
12 Sep H Nice W 1 - 0
04 Sep A Lyon L 3 - 1
29 Aug H Angers L 1 - 3
22 Aug A Lens L 5 - 2

Nice — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lille W 2 - 1
12 Sep A Auxerre L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Le Mans D 1 - 1
30 Aug A Paris FC L 3 - 0
22 Aug H Lorient D 0 - 0

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Monaco
5 4 1 0 +5 13
2
Lyon
5 3 2 0 +8 11
3
Paris FC
5 3 2 0 +5 11
4
Lille
5 3 1 1 +4 10
5
Rennes
5 3 1 1 -1 10
6
Paris Saint Germain
5 2 2 1 +1 8
7
Angers
5 2 1 2 +1 7
8
Strasbourg
5 2 1 2 0 7
9
Le Mans
5 1 3 1 0 6
10
Auxerre
5 2 0 3 -5 6
11
Stade Brestois 29
5 1 2 2 -1 5
12
Lorient
5 1 2 2 -1 5
13
Toulouse
5 1 2 2 -2 5
14
Nice
5 1 2 2 -3 5
15
Lens
5 1 1 3 0 4
16
Estac Troyes
5 1 1 3 -7 4
17
Marseille
5 1 0 4 -1 3
18
Le Havre
5 0 2 3 -3 2

Nice

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Pantaloni
23 Diouf
35 Tsiendi
55 Ndayishimiye
5 Abdelmonem
27 Nkounkou
28 Witsel
39 Coulibaly
92 Clauss
11 Wahi
7 Hein
9 Amoura

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 Y. Diouf G
5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D
55 Y. Ndayishimiye D
35 X. Mandza Tsiendi D
92 J. Clauss M
39 D. Coulibaly M
28 A. Witsel M
27 N. Nkounkou M
7 G. Hein M
11 E. Wahi M
9 M. Amoura F

Substitutes

87 E. Pereira M
6 H. Boudaoui M
77 T. Boulhendi G
38 A. Camara M
10 S. Diop M
2 A. Abdi D
21 I. Jansson F
41 D. Morana F
29 N. Ngoumou F

Auxerre

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: W. Still
23 Diop
92 Akpa
4 Tuanzebe
15 Makosso
22 Oppegård
5 Danois
46 Piedfort
27 Sy
3 Lascary
9 Archer
10 Namaso

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 M. Diop G
15 C. Makosso D
4 A. Tuanzebe D
92 C. Akpa D
27 L. Sy M
46 A. Piedfort M
5 K. Danois M
22 F. Oppegård M
10 D. Namaso F
9 C. Archer F
3 R. Labeau Lascary F

Substitutes

35 E. Legros D
1 P. Nardi G
77 Aristide Zossou M
8 N. Ahamada M
20 S. Diomandé D
34 L. Dioubate M
17 P. Ekwah M
21 R. Faivre M
32 R. Mandengue D

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