Auxerre vs Angers Prediction

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Post on X

Angers

Away

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre

AI call Auxerre or draw

46%

29%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Auxerre vs Angers prediction: Sportiko gives Auxerre a 46% chance of winning, Angers 25% and the draw 29%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 20:47.

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Home to Score 75%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Match Report

Auxerre made a bright start at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, with Branco van den Boomen breaking the deadlock inside five minutes. Angers hit back through Remy Labeau Lascary on 35 minutes to level before half-time, though the visitors were denied what could have been a lead when Danny Namaso's effort was disallowed by VAR for a foul just before the break.

The second half belonged to Angers. Djibirin Harouna put the visitors ahead on 70 minutes, and Amine El Ouazzani sealed the win eight minutes later to make it 3–1. Angers dominated possession throughout, finishing with 61% of the ball and 19 total shots to Auxerre's 15, though the hosts generated a slightly higher expected goals figure of 1.64 compared to 1.29 for the winners.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Auxerre victory as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved wide of the mark. A flurry of late yellow cards — shown to Akpa, Peter, and Diomandé in stoppage time — added a fractious finish to what was ultimately a comfortable Angers triumph.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Branco van den Boomen

▮ 28'

Branco van den Boomen Yellow Card

Remy Labeau Lascary assist: Romain Faivre

35' ⚽ 1–1

Danny Namaso Goal Disallowed - Foul

42' 🖵

HT 1–1

Elikya Legros Yellow Card

50' ▮

Remy Labeau Lascary ⇄ Fredrik Oppegård

61' ⇄

Elikya Legros ⇄ Aristide Zossou

62' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Jim Allevinah ⇄ Prosper Peter

⇄ 68'

Anthony Bermont ⇄ Djibirin Harouna

⚽ 1–2 70'

Djibirin Harouna assist: Amine El Ouazzani

Danny Namaso ⇄ Thelonius Bair

71' ⇄

Romain Faivre ⇄ Josué Casimir

71' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 78'

Amine El Ouazzani assist: Ousmane Camara

Arthur Piedfort ⇄ Lamfia Dioubaté

80' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Amine Sbai ⇄ Mamadou Usman Simbakoli

⇄ 87'

Carlens Arcus ⇄ Marius Louer

⇄ 88'

Amine El Ouazzani ⇄ Bané Diatta

Clement Akpa Yellow Card

90+3' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Prosper Peter Yellow Card

Sinaly Diomandé Yellow Card

90+4' ▮

FT 1–3

Auxerre

Match Stats

Angers

61% Ball Possession 39%

1.29 Expected Goals (xG) 1.64

19 Total Shots 15

7 Shots on Goal 6

9 Shots off Goal 4

3 Blocked Shots 5

9 Shots insidebox 11

10 Shots outsidebox 4

6 Corner Kicks 10

1 Offsides 1

15 Fouls 7

3 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 7

482 Total passes 295

423 Passes accurate 236

88% Passes % 80%

-0.13 goals_prevented -0.13

Auxerre

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
3 Remy Labeau Lascary F	7.9	61'	1	–	5	13 (10%)	1
5 Kévin Danois M	7.3	96'	–	–	3	63 (51%)	5
8 Naouirou Ahamada M	7.3	96'	–	–	–	45 (38%)	–
21 Romain Faivre F	7.2	71'	–	1	1	38 (35%)	–
7 Josué Casimir F	7.0	25'	–	–	2	12 (12%)	1
23 Mamadou Diop G	7.0	96'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
35 Elikya Legros D	6.9	62'	–	–	–	38 (32%)	2
14 Thelonius Bair F	6.7	25'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	–
20 Sinaly Diomandé D	6.6	96'	–	–	–	55 (53%)	1
46 Arthur Piedfort M	6.6	80'	–	–	–	47 (43%)	2
10 Danny Namaso F	6.3	71'	–	–	1	21 (18%)	1
34 Lamfia Dioubaté M	6.3	16'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
77 Aristide Zossou M	6.2	34'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	1
27 Lamine Sy D	6.0	96'	–	–	1	53 (49%)	–
22 Fredrik Oppegård D	5.9	35'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	–
92 Clement Akpa D	5.9	96'	–	–	1	47 (39%)	1

Angers

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Amine El Ouazzani F	8.7	88'	1	1	2	19 (11%)	2
11 Djibirin Harouna F	8.0	28'	1	–	2	7 (7%)	–
1 Anthony Lopes G	7.9	96'	–	–	–	41 (28%)	–
8 Branco van den Boomen M	7.6	96'	1	–	1	44 (32%)	2
4 Ousmane Camara D	7.3	96'	–	1	–	41 (37%)	3
21 Jordan Lefort D	7.3	96'	–	–	–	35 (28%)	1
14 Yassin Belkhdim M	7.2	96'	–	–	–	18 (17%)	7
17 Joseph Kalulu Kyatengwa D	7.0	96'	–	–	–	23 (21%)	2
26 Anthony Bermont M	6.7	68'	–	–	2	9 (6%)	1
10 Amine Sbai M	6.6	81'	–	–	3	9 (8%)	1
7 Mamadou Usman Simbakoli F	6.6	15'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
2 Carlens Arcus D	6.5	87'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	2
9 Prosper Peter F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
18 Jim Allevinah M	6.5	67'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
20 Marius Louer D	6.3	9'	–	–	–	–	–
36 Bané Diatta M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Our lean

Auxerre or draw

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Auxerre

WWLLL

Angers

WDLWL

Last 3 meetings Auxerre · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 match, Auxerre will face Angers. Both teams have struggled to secure consistent results this season, with Auxerre sitting in the lower half of the table, while Angers has also found it challenging to gather points. Auxerre's defensive record has been a concern, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, while Angers has shown some attacking prowess, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match. The outcome could hinge on Auxerre's ability to tighten their defense against Angers' forwards, who will look to capitalize on any lapses. This match presents a crucial opportunity for both teams to gain momentum in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Angers goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Auxerre goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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Players in form

Auxerre

C. Archer 3 gls

Angers

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	7.7%	4.8%	1.7%	0.4%
1	10.8%	14.5%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
2	8.5%	8.8%	4.5%	1.6%	0.4%
3	3.9%	4.0%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Auxerre	Draw	Angers
Auxerre	30.8%	6.1%	2.3%
Draw	12.2%	19.5%	12.8%
Angers	1.1%	2.8%	12.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Auxerre vs Angers

1 Auxerre Wins

0 Draws

2 Angers Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Auxerre	3 - 1	Angers
09 Nov 2025	Angers	2 - 0	Auxerre
19 Jan 2025	Angers	2 - 0	Auxerre

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Auxerre — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Stade Brestois 29	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	H Nice	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Lyon	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Angers	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Lens	L	5 - 2

Angers — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Estac Troyes	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Le Havre	D	0 - 0
06 Sep	H Rennes	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	A Auxerre	W	1 - 3
23 Aug	H Lille	L	0 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2