Lecce vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 25

21 Feb 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Frosinone

Away

AI call Difficult Frosinone win or draw

17%

27%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lecce vs Frosinone prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 17% chance of winning, Frosinone 55% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Lecce

LWLLW

Frosinone

WDWDW

Last 2 meetings Lecce · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lecce will face Frosinone in an intriguing Serie A clash. Lecce has shown solid form at home, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season. Conversely, Frosinone has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per game away from home, which could be a significant factor in this matchup. Both teams will look to secure vital points, making this a critical encounter in their quest for league stability. Expect a tactical battle, with Lecce likely aiming to exploit Frosinone's defensive frailties.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Frosinone goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	12	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Frosinone

A. Raimondo 4 gls

G. Kvernadze 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

27%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

76% Away (No Draw) 24% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

27%

1.5

73%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	12.2%	11.4%	6.4%	2.7%
1	5.4%	13.0%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
2	2.9%	4.8%	4.0%	2.2%	0.9%
3	0.8%	1.4%	1.1%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lecce	Draw	Frosinone
Lecce	9.8%	3.9%	2.4%
Draw	7.3%	17.7%	19.8%
Frosinone	1.0%	3.7%	34.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Frosinone

1 Lecce Wins

1 Draws

0 Frosinone Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2024	Frosinone	1 - 1	Lecce
16 Dec 2023	Lecce	2 - 1	Frosinone

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Como	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Genoa	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Venezia	W	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Sassuolo	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Fiorentina	W	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.