Monza vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

14 Feb 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Lecce

Away

AI call Too close to call

34%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Monza vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Monza a 34% chance of winning, Lecce 33% and the draw 34%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Monza

WLDWL

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Monza · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A match, Monza will host Lecce. Monza has been showing solid form at home, leveraging their attacking capabilities, with an average of 1.5 goals per game this season. Lecce, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game in their last five outings. The clash will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points for their respective standings. Monza will look to capitalize on Lecce's defensive frailties, while Lecce will need to tighten their backline to avoid further setbacks.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

10%

Draw

34%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14	11	7	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	7	7	4	1
3	2	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Monza goals · most likely 1–1 (15.3%)

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Draw

34%

Home Win

34%

Away Win

33%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Match Result

Draw

34%

Home Win

34%

Away Win

33%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

14% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

34% Equal Goals 34% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.3%	11.1%	6.6%	2.3%	0.6%
1	11.4%	15.3%	7.0%	2.4%	0.6%
2	6.9%	7.1%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%
3	2.4%	2.5%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

76%

1.5

24%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

41%

34%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monza	Draw	Lecce
Monza	18.3%	3.8%	1.3%
Draw	14.8%	23.2%	13.2%
Lecce	1.7%	4.5%	19.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monza vs Lecce

0 Monza Wins

1 Draws

2 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Lecce	3 - 2	Monza
16 Feb 2025	Monza	0 - 0	Lecce
15 Dec 2024	Lecce	2 - 1	Monza

See all 7 meetings — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.