Monza vs AS Roma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

31 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

AS Roma

Away

AI call Monza or draw

42%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Monza vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Monza a 42% chance of winning, AS Roma 29% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Monza

WLDWL

AS Roma

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Monza · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Monza will host AS Roma. Monza's recent form has been mixed, with a struggle to secure consistent points, while Roma has shown more stability, particularly in their attacking play. AS Roma boasts a stronger squad depth and higher expected goals (xG) metrics, indicating a more potent offensive threat. Additionally, their defense has been more resolute, allowing fewer goals per match. This matchup will likely hinge on whether Monza can effectively disrupt Roma's attacking rhythm.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AS Roma goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	7	5	2	1
1	8	14	7	3	1
2	7	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ Monza goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

AS Roma

D. Malen 6 gls

M. Soulé 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

29%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

42%

Away Win

29%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Home Scores More 29% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	6.5%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
1	8.4%	13.7%	7.4%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.5%	9.1%	5.6%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.7%	4.6%	2.8%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.4%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monza	Draw	AS Roma
Monza	23.9%	4.1%	1.6%
Draw	16.6%	17.7%	11.1%
AS Roma	2.7%	4.9%	17.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monza vs AS Roma

0 Monza Wins

1 Draws

2 AS Roma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Feb 2025	AS Roma	4 - 0	Monza
06 Oct 2024	Monza	1 - 1	AS Roma
02 Mar 2024	Monza	1 - 4	AS Roma

See all 6 meetings — Premium

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inter	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Lecce	W	0 - 4

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.