Fiorentina vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

24 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Sassuolo

Away

AI call Fiorentina to win or draw

66%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction: Sportiko gives Fiorentina a 66% chance of winning, Sassuolo 9% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 16%

Both teams to score

37%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Sassuolo

LWDDW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina faces Sassuolo in a crucial Serie A matchup. Fiorentina has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defensive record this season, allowing an average of just 1 goal per match. Sassuolo, while capable of attacking flair, has struggled away from home, winning only 30% of their matches on the road. Key players to watch include Fiorentina’s top scorer, who has consistently found the net, and Sassuolo's playmaker, whose creativity could be pivotal. Overall, Fiorentina’s defensive solidity and home form may give them the edge in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

66%

10%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sassuolo goals →

	0	1	2
0	11	4	1
1	16	11	3
2	16	9	2
3	9	5	1
4	4	2	1
5	2	1

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–0 (16.0%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

24%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 24% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS No 37% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	4.0%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
1	16.0%	10.7%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.6%	8.6%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
3	9.4%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.3%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Sassuolo
Fiorentina	43.4%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.4%	16.8%	4.4%
Sassuolo	1.9%	2.8%	5.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

58%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Sassuolo

1 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

1 Sassuolo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Sassuolo
06 Dec 2025	Sassuolo	3 - 1	Fiorentina
28 Apr 2024	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Sassuolo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.