Bologna vs Atalanta Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

24 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Atalanta

Away

AI call Bologna or draw

35%

32%

33%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bologna vs Atalanta prediction: Sportiko gives Bologna a 35% chance of winning, Atalanta 33% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Bologna

DLDLL

Atalanta

LLLWW

Last 3 meetings Bologna · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Bologna faces Atalanta in a crucial Serie A clash, with both teams vying for European qualification spots. Bologna has shown solid form at home, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals on average. Atalanta, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a higher goal average of 2.1 per match, but they also concede 1.4 goals. This match could hinge on Bologna's ability to contain Atalanta's offense, while capitalizing on set pieces and counter-attacks to secure valuable points. Expect a competitive encounter with tactical nuances from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

33%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atalanta goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	7	8	4	2
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Bologna goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

33%

Draw

32%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

35%

Away Win

33%

Draw

32%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

51% Home (No Draw) 49% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

15% Home Win by 2+ 14% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

35% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	9.9%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%
1	10.2%	15.1%	7.5%	2.8%	0.8%
2	6.9%	7.7%	4.3%	1.6%	0.5%
3	2.6%	2.9%	1.7%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bologna	Draw	Atalanta
Bologna	20.4%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	13.8%	21.3%	13.5%
Atalanta	1.6%	4.3%	19.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bologna vs Atalanta

1 Bologna Wins

0 Draws

2 Atalanta Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
31 Aug 2026	Atalanta	1 - 0	Bologna
17 May 2026	Atalanta	0 - 1	Bologna
07 Jan 2026	Bologna	0 - 2	Atalanta

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Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Torino	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A Napoli	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Sassuolo	D	2 - 2
31 Aug	A Atalanta	L	1 - 0
24 Aug	H Lazio	L	0 - 1

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.