Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

17 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Fiorentina

Away

AI call Fiorentina or draw

23%

30%

47%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Napoli vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives Napoli a 23% chance of winning, Fiorentina 47% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Napoli

DWLLL

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Napoli · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Napoli faces Fiorentina in a Serie A clash that promises to be competitive. Napoli's attacking prowess, highlighted by an average of 2.1 goals per match this season, will test Fiorentina's defense, which has conceded 1.5 goals per match. Conversely, Fiorentina will rely on their midfield creativity to exploit any gaps in Napoli's setup. Historically, Napoli has had the upper hand in their recent encounters, winning 4 of the last 5 matches. The outcome may hinge on set-piece execution and the effectiveness of each team's counter-attacking strategy.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	11	9	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Napoli goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

30%

Home Win

23%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

30%

Home Win

23%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

67% Away (No Draw) 33% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 9% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 23% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.4%	11.3%	9.5%	4.6%	1.7%
1	6.9%	14.1%	9.2%	4.5%	1.7%
2	4.1%	6.1%	4.5%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.3%	2.0%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Napoli	Draw	Fiorentina
Napoli	13.4%	4.2%	2.2%
Draw	9.6%	19.2%	17.4%
Fiorentina	1.3%	4.1%	28.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Napoli vs Fiorentina

2 Napoli Wins

1 Draws

0 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Sep 2026	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Napoli
31 Jan 2026	Napoli	2 - 1	Fiorentina
13 Sep 2025	Fiorentina	1 - 3	Napoli

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Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter	L	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Como	L	1 - 2

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.