Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

10 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Lecce

Away

AI call Difficult Fiorentina win or draw

62%

27%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fiorentina vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Fiorentina a 62% chance of winning, Lecce 11% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 18%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

35%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina enters this Serie A match against Lecce with a strong home record, typically capitalizing on their attacking prowess, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Lecce, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The match could hinge on Fiorentina's ability to exploit Lecce's defensive frailties, particularly through set pieces and quick transitions. Conversely, Lecce will need to tighten their defense to avoid falling behind early. Overall, Fiorentina's offensive strength positions them as the favorites in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2
0	13	5	2
1	18	11	3
2	15	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–0 (18.0%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

27%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

36%

1.5

64%

65%

2.5

35%

84%

3.5

16%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	5.0%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
1	18.0%	11.4%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.5%	8.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%
3	8.2%	4.3%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.3%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Lecce
Fiorentina	39.7%	2.9%	0.5%
Draw	22.4%	19.5%	5.1%
Lecce	1.6%	2.8%	5.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Lecce

1 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

1 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Apr 2026	Lecce	1 - 1	Fiorentina
02 Nov 2025	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Lecce
28 Feb 2025	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Lecce

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.