Fiorentina vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

03 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Lazio

Away

AI call Fiorentina or draw

48%

30%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fiorentina vs Lazio prediction: Sportiko gives Fiorentina a 48% chance of winning, Lazio 22% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Lazio

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Fiorentina hosts Lazio in a crucial Serie A clash on January 3, 2027. Both teams have shown competitive form, with Fiorentina averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while Lazio has maintained a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.9 goals per game. Key players to watch include Fiorentina's top scorer, who has been pivotal in their attack, and Lazio's goalkeeper, who has made several crucial saves. This match could be a significant indicator of both teams' aspirations for European qualification this season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lazio goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	10	7	4	1
1	12	14	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (14.0%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

30%

Away Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

30%

Away Win

22%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

68% Home (No Draw) 32% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 8% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 22% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	6.7%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	11.6%	14.0%	5.8%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.8%	9.2%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.9%	4.6%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.8%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Lazio
Fiorentina	29.7%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	17.7%	19.2%	9.3%
Lazio	2.1%	4.1%	12.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Lazio

2 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

0 Lazio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Apr 2026	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Lazio
07 Jan 2026	Lazio	2 - 2	Fiorentina
26 Jan 2025	Lazio	1 - 2	Fiorentina

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Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.