Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

03 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

Genoa

Away

Unipol Domus, Cagliari

AI call Cagliari or draw

48%

31%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Cagliari vs Genoa prediction: Sportiko gives Cagliari a 48% chance of winning, Genoa 21% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Cagliari

WWWLL

Genoa

LWDLL

Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Cagliari will face Genoa in this Serie A matchup, with both teams seeking crucial points to improve their standings. Cagliari has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, while Genoa has struggled to score consistently away from home. Recent form indicates that Cagliari has a slight edge, winning 3 of their last 5 matches, whereas Genoa has managed only 1 victory in the same span. The outcome may hinge on Cagliari's ability to capitalize on their home ground advantage and Genoa's need to tighten their defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genoa goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	7	4	1
1	13	14	5	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Cagliari goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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Players in form

Cagliari

D. Maldini 3 gls

Genoa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

21%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.4%	7.4%	3.8%	1.1%	0.2%
1	13.4%	14.2%	5.3%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.4%	8.8%	3.7%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.8%	4.1%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.7%	1.4%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cagliari	Draw	Genoa
Cagliari	29.0%	3.9%	1.0%
Draw	18.4%	20.9%	9.0%
Genoa	1.9%	4.0%	11.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Genoa

0 Cagliari Wins

2 Draws

1 Genoa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Jan 2026	Genoa	3 - 0	Cagliari
22 Nov 2025	Cagliari	3 - 3	Genoa
07 Mar 2025	Cagliari	1 - 1	Genoa

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Udinese	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Atalanta	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H Lecce	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Hellas Verona	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Inter	L	0 - 1

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.