Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

20 Dec 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Napoli

Away

AI call Atalanta to win or draw

67%

23%

10%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atalanta vs Napoli prediction: Sportiko gives Atalanta a 67% chance of winning, Napoli 10% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

Napoli

DWLLL

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Atalanta and Napoli, both teams have shown strong attacking prowess this season. Atalanta averages 2.1 goals per match, leveraging their high-pressing style, while Napoli boasts a solid defensive record with only 0.9 goals conceded per game. Key players to watch include Atalanta's Duván Zapata, who has been crucial in their goal-scoring efforts, and Napoli's Victor Osimhen, a consistent threat in front of goal. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming to secure vital points in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Napoli goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	1
1	15	11	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 2–0 (15.0%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

87% Home (No Draw) 13% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	3.7%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
1	14.5%	10.7%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
2	15.0%	9.0%	2.7%	0.5%	0.1%
3	9.6%	5.7%	1.7%	0.3%	0.1%
4	4.6%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Napoli
Atalanta	44.2%	2.8%	0.5%
Draw	22.2%	15.6%	4.4%
Napoli	2.1%	2.9%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

55%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Napoli

1 Atalanta Wins

0 Draws

2 Napoli Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	Atalanta	2 - 1	Napoli
22 Nov 2025	Napoli	3 - 1	Atalanta
18 Jan 2025	Atalanta	2 - 3	Napoli

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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter	L	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Como	L	1 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.