Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

13 Dec 2026, 17:30

Post on X

AC Milan

Away

AI call Napoli or draw

41%

31%

27%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Napoli vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Napoli a 41% chance of winning, AC Milan 27% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.8%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Napoli

DWLLL

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Napoli · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Napoli will face AC Milan in a crucial matchup that could impact the title race. Napoli has shown strong form at home this season, with a solid average of 2.2 goals per game, while their defense has conceded 1.1 goals per match. AC Milan, on the other hand, remains competitive with a potent attack averaging 1.8 goals per game. The outcome will likely hinge on Napoli's ability to exploit their home ground advantage against a resilient Milan side that excels in counter-attacking play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	8	5	2
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Napoli goals · most likely 1–1 (14.8%)

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Players in form

Napoli

No scorer data.

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

31%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

60% Home (No Draw) 40% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	8.4%	5.1%	1.7%	0.4%
1	11.2%	14.8%	6.6%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.4%	8.5%	4.3%	1.4%	0.4%
3	3.7%	3.7%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Napoli	Draw	AC Milan
Napoli	24.9%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	15.8%	20.7%	11.1%
AC Milan	1.9%	4.3%	15.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Napoli vs AC Milan

2 Napoli Wins

0 Draws

1 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Apr 2026	Napoli	1 - 0	AC Milan
28 Sep 2025	AC Milan	2 - 1	Napoli
30 Mar 2025	Napoli	2 - 1	AC Milan

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
09 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 1
05 Sep	A Inter	L	3 - 2
30 Aug	H Como	L	1 - 2

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.