Lazio vs AS Roma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

13 Dec 2026, 17:30

Post on X

AS Roma

Away

AI call Difficult Lazio win or draw

55%

26%

19%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lazio vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Lazio a 55% chance of winning, AS Roma 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.4%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Lazio

WDWWW

AS Roma

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Lazio · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Lazio and AS Roma, both teams enter with strong competitive records. Lazio boasts a solid home form, having secured 65% of their points at home this season, while AS Roma has shown resilience, especially in away fixtures. Historically, this derby, known as the "Derby della Capitale," often produces tightly contested encounters, with the last five matches averaging 2.4 goals per game. Key players to watch include Lazio's attacking midfielder, who leads the team in assists, and Roma's top scorer, who poses a constant threat in transition. Expect a tactical battle with significant implications for both teams' standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AS Roma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	10	10	5	2
3	6	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Lazio goals · most likely 1–1 (12.4%)

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Players in form

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

AS Roma

D. Malen 6 gls

M. Soulé 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

26%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	4.6%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%
1	9.9%	12.4%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
2	10.3%	10.0%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.2%	6.1%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lazio	Draw	AS Roma
Lazio	35.5%	3.9%	1.2%
Draw	18.8%	15.9%	7.5%
AS Roma	2.6%	4.0%	10.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lazio vs AS Roma

0 Lazio Wins

1 Draws

2 AS Roma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	AS Roma	2 - 0	Lazio
21 Sep 2025	Lazio	0 - 1	AS Roma
13 Apr 2025	Lazio	1 - 1	AS Roma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inter	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Lecce	W	0 - 4

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.