Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

06 Dec 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Cagliari

Away

AI call Fiorentina or draw

39%

33%

28%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fiorentina vs Cagliari prediction: Sportiko gives Fiorentina a 39% chance of winning, Cagliari 28% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

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Fiorentina

DWWLL

Cagliari

WWWLL

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina will host Cagliari in this Serie A clash, with both teams looking to secure crucial points. Fiorentina has shown strong form at home this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match while conceding just 1.0 per game. Cagliari, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with only 0.9 goals scored per away match and a defensive record of 1.6 goals conceded. The matchup will likely hinge on Fiorentina's ability to exploit Cagliari's defensive vulnerabilities, making them favorites to secure a win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cagliari goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	9	5	2
1	12	15	6	2
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2
4	1	1
5

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

Cagliari

D. Maldini 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

33%

Away Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

33%

Away Win

28%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

59% Home (No Draw) 41% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 28% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

64%

2.5

36%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.4%	9.5%	5.4%	1.7%	0.4%
1	12.2%	15.1%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.3%	7.9%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
3	3.3%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.9%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Cagliari
Fiorentina	23.5%	4.2%	1.3%
Draw	15.5%	22.3%	11.7%
Cagliari	1.6%	4.1%	15.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Cagliari

1 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

1 Cagliari Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Cagliari
24 Aug 2025	Cagliari	1 - 1	Fiorentina
23 Apr 2025	Cagliari	1 - 2	Fiorentina

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Cagliari — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Udinese	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Atalanta	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H Lecce	W	1 - 0
03 Sep	H Hellas Verona	L	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Inter	L	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.