AC Milan vs Parma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

06 Dec 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Parma

Away

AI call Difficult AC Milan win or draw

51%

31%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AC Milan vs Parma prediction: Sportiko gives AC Milan a 51% chance of winning, Parma 18% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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74%

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.8%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Parma

WLDLL

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

AC Milan will face Parma in a Serie A clash on December 6, 2026. Milan has historically been strong at home, but Parma's recent form shows promise with key players contributing to their attack. In their last five league matches, Milan has secured an average of 2 goals per game, while Parma has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals per match. The match could hinge on Milan's ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities against a potentially vulnerable Parma defense. Expect a tactical battle with Milan looking to maintain pressure early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Parma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	7	3	1
1	16	14	4	1
2	12	8	3	1
3	5	4	1
4	2	1
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 1–0 (15.8%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Parma

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

31%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

31%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

74% Home (No Draw) 26% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

51% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

86%

38%

1.5

62%

67%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.5%	7.5%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
1	15.8%	13.8%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
2	11.8%	8.2%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	5.3%	3.7%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

34%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Parma
AC Milan	30.9%	3.5%	0.8%
Draw	19.4%	22.2%	7.9%
Parma	1.7%	3.6%	10.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Parma

1 AC Milan Wins

1 Draws

1 Parma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Feb 2026	AC Milan	0 - 1	Parma
08 Nov 2025	Parma	2 - 2	AC Milan
26 Jan 2025	AC Milan	3 - 2	Parma

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Parma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Genoa	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Como	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Monza	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	H Cremonese	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Juventus	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.