Monza vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

22 Nov 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Fiorentina

Away

AI call Difficult Fiorentina win or draw

20%

29%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Monza vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives Monza a 20% chance of winning, Fiorentina 50% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Monza

WLDWL

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Monza · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Monza will face Fiorentina in a Serie A clash on November 22, 2026. Monza's recent form has shown fluctuations, with their offensive output averaging 1.2 goals per game over the last five matches. In contrast, Fiorentina has been more consistent, averaging 1.8 goals per game during the same period while maintaining a solid defensive record. Both teams will be keen to capitalize on any defensive lapses, making this match a potentially high-stakes encounter. The outcome could hinge on Monza's ability to contain Fiorentina's attacking threats and convert their chances efficiently.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	12	11	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Monza goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 4 gls

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

20%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 20% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.9%	12.5%	10.6%	5.3%	2.0%
1	6.5%	13.8%	9.2%	4.6%	1.8%
2	3.5%	5.3%	4.0%	2.0%	0.8%
3	1.0%	1.5%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Monza	Draw	Fiorentina
Monza	10.5%	3.6%	1.9%
Draw	9.2%	19.4%	18.0%
Fiorentina	1.3%	4.3%	32.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

42%

36%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Monza vs Fiorentina

1 Monza Wins

1 Draws

1 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Jan 2025	Monza	2 - 1	Fiorentina
01 Sep 2024	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Monza
13 May 2024	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Monza

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Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Sassuolo	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A Lecce	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Parma	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 1
29 Aug	H Udinese	L	2 - 3

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.